Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Clinton Holding Steady in Wisconsin, but Russ Feingold Needs a Boost

Dan Powers/The Post-Crescent
The new Marquette Law School poll in Wisconsin (considered the gold standard there) has good news for Hillary Clinton:
A new Marquette Law School Poll finds 46 percent of Wisconsin likely voters supporting Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and 40 percent supporting Republican Donald Trump in the race for president. Libertarian Gary Johnson is supported by 4 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein by 3 percent.

In the most recent Marquette Law School Poll, conducted Oct. 6-9, Clinton received 44 percent, Trump 37 percent, Johnson 9 percent and Stein 3 percent, with 6 percent not expressing a preference.
Wisconsin is looking like a must-win for Trump at this point, and that's...not good for him. But there's a little problem elsewhere in the poll:
The new survey, the final Marquette Law School Poll to be conducted before the Nov. 8 election, additionally finds a very close U.S. Senate race in Wisconsin, with 45 percent of likely voters supporting Democrat Russ Feingold and 44 percent supporting Republican Ron Johnson. Libertarian candidate Phil Anderson has 3 percent support, while 5 percent do not express a candidate preference, saying that they will vote for none of the candidates, will not vote or don’t know how they will vote. In the poll conducted Oct. 6-9, Feingold held 46 percent to Johnson’s 44 percent, with Anderson at 4 percent and 5 percent without a preference.
The great Russ Feingold leading Senator Ron Johnson by only one point? Maybe that's why Tim Kaine just campaigned in Wisconsin yesterday. The Koch brothers really want to win this one, and we can't let that happen.

However, there's reason for optimism:
Early voting has been going on for weeks in Wisconsin, and I'm hearing great things about Democratic turnout. So even if Johnson has a late surge, it may not be enough. Still, this is way too close for comfort, and winning back this seat is key to Democratic hopes of taking control of the Senate.

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