Thursday, October 27, 2016

UT/Texas Tribune Poll: Trump 45% Clinton 42% in the Lone Star State

Clinton rally in San Antonio, Oct 2015 (photo by Scott Hopkins)
Yet another Texas poll is hot off the presses showing a tight race in 2016's newest battleground!
More from the Texas Tribune:
“This is the trend that we’ve been seeing in polling for the last two weeks,” said Jim Henson, co-director of the UT/TT Poll and head of the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin.
In spite of the closeness of the race and the margin of error, the number of polls showing similar distance between the candidates, with Trump in front, “is probably a telling us where this race really stands,” Henson said. Close, with a Trump lead, in other words.
Obviously, a Republican presidential candidate winning Texas by only three points would be amazing, but that's not good enough. Let's go ahead win this thing!

For that to happen, an unusually high number of unlikely voters will need to show up and swamp polling places like never before. Another recent poll showed Clinton actually leading among registered voters by four points, but that was reversed into a six-point deficit when the likely voter screen was added. So winning outright is simply a matter of everyone showing up, and what better motivator is there than living in a battleground state?

The great news is that early vote turnout is absolutely smashing records all across the state so far. The big question is whether or not the incredible pace keeps up all the way until the final election day. If so, the world might be in for a Texas-sized surprise late in the evening on November 8th.

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