Saturday, October 29, 2016

Reuters/Ipsos Poll: Clinton Leads Big in Early Voting Across the Country... Including Texas!

Haters gonna hate.
Reports have been coming in right and left about incredible turnout in early voting so far in the battlegrounds, particularly in Democratic areas. And this week's massive survey of around 15,000 voters from Reuters/Ipsos is saying the same thing...including in some surprising places:
With 11 days to go before the U.S. presidential election, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by 15 percentage points among early voters surveyed in the past two weeks, according to the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project.

Though data is not available for all early voting states, Clinton enjoys an edge in swing states such as Ohio and Arizona and in Republican Party strongholds such as Georgia and Texas.

An estimated 19 million Americans have voted so far in the election, according to the University of Florida’s United States Election Project, accounting for as much as 20 percent of the electorate.

Overall, Clinton remained on track to win a majority of votes in the Electoral College, the Reuters/Ipsos survey showed.

In Ohio, Clinton led Trump by double digits among early voters. The project’s broader polling suggests the state is deadlocked between the two candidates.

In Arizona, Clinton also was solidly ahead among early voters. In the past month, Arizona has gradually moved from a solid Trump state to a marginal Clinton state, although it is still too close to call, according to the project results.

In Georgia, she enjoyed a similar lead among early voters. Overall, Georgia leans to Trump, but his lead narrowed to five percentage points this week, down from eights points last week and 13 points a month ago.
Even in Texas...Clinton has a double-digit edge among early voters, according to project results.
Obviously, this great news across the board. Democrats clearly have the enthusiasm advantage. Votes are being locked in for Hillary before any widely-criticized 11th-hour surprises can effect the race. And it also backs up stories we're about early voting in the Democratic strongholds of Texas.

For example:
On Friday, the man in charge of overseeing elections in Harris County says the nation’s second largest voting entity will probably set new records all weekend long.

The county has already broken early voting records every single day since the polling places opened on Monday.

Friday afternoon, the parking lot of the Metropolitan Multiservices Center in Montrose looked more like the mall in December than an early voting site.

Cars were circling nonstop for parking and Houstonians were quickly moving into line trying to beat the rush.
Of course, according to Reuters, Trump has a "sizable lead" overall in their Texas poll (contradicting other polls that show the race very close). But if Clinton's double-digit lead in early voting continues for another seven days...can Donald even catch up on Election Day?


  1. Texas is already officially a Battleground State.

    1. I HOPE Democratic from safer state all head to Texas and help turn this state blue it's our best chance in many years to win this state

  2. Pretty hard to make a case that Texas is "rigged".

  3. West Houston is certainly in play.