|Hillary's face in this post-debate photo tells you all you need to know about the state of the race today.|
A ton of pre-debate polls came out on Monday. In the morning, the results were pretty much horrendous. But by the early afternoon, some better polls started creeping in. And by the time the debate began, the day's overall polling seemed to tilt Hillary's way a bit. Among the most encouraging were the weekly tracking polls by NBC News/SurveyMonkey and YouGov, both of which showed an uptick for Hillary in the head-to-head matchups:
Here's the thing, though: Hillary just destroyed Donald in the first debate...so these numbers are pretty much meaningless indicators of where the race stands today.
My hunch, however, is that Clinton will get a nice 3-4 point bump in the next round of polls. Her footing will be regained in Ohio and Iowa, and her position in the rest of the swing states will be solidified. It also wouldn't surprise me if the impact of the debate is even greater than expected, and this is why:
In about a week, we'll have a really good idea about the impact of the debate. Then the vice presidential debate occurs on Tuesday night, and I expect Tim Kaine to also do quite well. Five days later, Clinton and Trump face off for the second time. Ten days later comes the final debate.That's a lot of eyeballs! Clinton-Trump debate sets ratings record https://t.co/BuxX2AdQXp pic.twitter.com/jldFybEtX1— USA TODAY (@USATODAY) September 27, 2016
And twenty days after that, Hillary Clinton will win the presidency.