Tuesday, September 20, 2016

FLORIDA: Clinton Leads Trump by 5 Points in New Monmouth Poll

Good news from the Sunshine State!
Among Florida voters likely to participate in November's presidential election, 46% currently support Clinton and 41% back Trump. Another 6% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 1% support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, with 5% who are undecided. This compares to Monmouth's August poll which had Clinton at 48%, Trump 39%, Johnson 6%, and Stein 1%.

Clinton has an overwhelming advantage among Hispanic, black and Asian voters who make up about one-third of the electorate, garnering 69% of this group's vote to 16% for Trump. Her lead among non-white voters was a similar 69% to 19% last month. Trump's 53% to 35% advantage among white voters is also about where it was last month (51% to 37%).
This result from an A+ rated pollster is further evidence that the dire polls and predictions from last week were overblown. The race is pretty steady, and Trump's birther meltdown from last Friday didn't help him one bit.

This poll also has encouraging news for anyone hoping Marco Rubio will be taken out:
Turning to the U.S. Senate race, Republican incumbent Marco Rubio currently leads Democratic congressman Patrick Murphy by 47% to 45%, with 3% supporting another candidate and 5% undecided. In a Monmouth poll taken before last month's party primaries, Rubio held a 48% to 43% edge over Murphy.

More Florida voters approve (46%) than disapprove (38%) of the job Rubio has done in his term as U.S. Senator, largely unchanged from his 47% approve and 39% disapprove rating last month. However, 37% of Florida voters hold a favorable opinion of Rubio and 36% have an unfavorable view, which is down slightly from his more positive 40% favorable and 33% unfavorable rating in August.
Wouldn't it be amazing if Florida gets called for Clinton early in the evening and for Murphy late into the night on November 8th? I think it could happen...so let's make it happen!

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