When Hillary HQ began on January 15th of last year, there were 663 days until the election. But as of today, we're down to double digits! I had initially planned on writing this with 100 days to go, but decided to wait another day in the hope that more post-convention polls would be coming out. That's exactly what happened, and I am happy to report that Hillary has received a very good bounce and is once again the undisputed frontrunner!
Drink it in, folks!
So far, Clinton's bounce is bigger than Trump's: https://t.co/PoLqZ1F6g7— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) August 1, 2016
Gallup: Trump support tumbles after conventions https://t.co/fOzi7PkZeG— Hillary HQ (@Hillary_HQ) August 1, 2016
National poll: Clinton leads Trump by 9 https://t.co/QOSZB1QBSS— Hillary HQ (@Hillary_HQ) August 1, 2016
New post-convention poll shows Clinton leads Trump by 7 points. pic.twitter.com/De5GDTflK9— TODAY (@TODAYshow) August 1, 2016
National GE:— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 1, 2016
Clinton 41% (+5)
YouGov/Economist Weekly Pollhttps://t.co/omskQQFIX5 pic.twitter.com/CPF43ZZGo4
Our new PA poll finds Hillary Clinton leading with 45% to 42% for Donald Trump, 4% Gary Johnson, 2% Jill Stein: https://t.co/dCndclNGaw— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) August 1, 2016
And Hillary has now suddenly regained the clear advantage on 538's forecast:Two new polls in Georgia this afternoon. SurveyUSA: Trump+4, Landmark/Rosetta Stone: Tie— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) August 1, 2016
I don't believe that Florida and New Hampshire that close or that North Carolina is leaning red, but I'll take it! With Virginia and Colorado becoming more solidly blue, all Clinton has to do is hold onto Pennsylvania and Nevada and she's over the top. And that's not even counting Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Georgia, Iowa, New Hampshire and Arizona. In other words, she has so many ways to win this thing and she's almost there as it is.
We can't let up for a second until the evening of November 8th, but this is definitely where we want to be with less than 100 days to go!