If Hillary wins Pennsylvania, this race is pretty much over...and right now, she's leading comfortably:
Hillary Clinton holds an eight-point lead over Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to the results of the latest Monmouth University poll of likely voters out Tuesday, which also shows Democratic Senate candidate Katie McGinty eking out a narrow advantage over Republican incumbent Pat Toomey.Beyond the state's importance in helping Clinton reach 270, a McGinty victory will go a long way toward insuring a Democratic majority in the Senate. Clinton's coattails there will probably make that happen, so we should expect Clinton to try for as big a Pennsylvania landslide as possible. She might even flip a few House seats along the way.
Buoyed by strong support from non-whites and voters in the Philadelphia area, Clinton is shown leading the Republican nominee 48 percent to 40 percent in a four-way race including Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, who received 6 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein, who earned 1 percent. Another 4 percent said they are undecided among those candidates.
Clinton’s level of support in the four-way matchup is roughly the same as the nine-point lead she had in an NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll conducted in early August.
And look at this:
If this holds true on election night...well, it's going to be an early night.What's killing Trump in PA (i.e. the whole ballgame): HRC 47 DJT 37 among college-educated whites. Also: Tied w/ white women (Romney was +9)— Glenn Thrush (@GlennThrush) August 30, 2016