As the Democratic race truly concluded on Tuesday morning and we're still waiting on running mate news from both sides, I'll keep this installment brief and stick to head-to-head polling between Clinton and Trump.
Last Wednesday, I wrote this:
A couple of weeks ago, Clinton led in this poll by 13 points. Today, she leads by 13 points. And in case you're wondering, the last few days of this poll was taken during the nothingburger Bill/Loretta tarmac "scandal". It will be interesting to see the national polls a week from now, but my guess is that there won't be much difference then either.And lo and behold, Hillary still leads by 13 points in this poll even after all that business with FBI. Hey, maybe I'm kinda good at this!
Otherwise, it seems like polls have been all over the map the past few days: Hillary's up big with Pew and Democracy Corps, barely ahead with Survey Monkey and Morning Consult, and slightly behind according to Rasmussen (hah!). Then there were the ones today that had her slightly behind in Iowa but well ahead in Colorado. In confusing situations like these, it's best to just ask Nate:
Steady polling over the past two weeks...all before Bernie got on board? Sounds good to me!There have been some strong individual polls for Trump, and Clinton but -- as is often the case -- they more or less cancel out.— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 12, 2016