Tuesday, July 19, 2016

Hillary News & Views 7.19: NAACP, Voter Registration, Favorables, "A Meeting of No Minds"


Today’s Hillary News & Views begins with Clinton’s powerful speech yesterday to the NAACP.
Time has the full transcript:
For more than a century, you’ve been on the front lines, pushing America to become a better, fairer country. You and your noble predecessors have marched, sat in, stood up, spoke out all to bring us closer to our founding ideals of equality for all.
And yes, we have made progress. We can see the results in classrooms where children of all races side by side, in board rooms and break rooms where workers of all backgrounds are able to earn a living and support their families, every level of government where more and more the people we elect to represent America actually look like America. And of course, in the White House with our wonderful president and first lady and their daughters, Barack and Michelle Obama.
So as the president has said, indeed as he exemplifies, we’ve come a long way, but you know and I know that we have so much further to go. We were cruelly reminded of that with the recent deaths of Alton Sterling and Philando Castile, two more black man killed in police incidents, this time in Louisiana and Minnesota. And then in Dallas, five police officers killed while serving and protecting peaceful protesters targeted because they were police. And then, of course, yesterday, three police officers murdered in an apparent premeditated ambush in Baton Rouge.
This madness has to stop.
Watching the news from Baton Rouge yesterday, my heart broke. Not just for those officers and their grieving families, but for all of us. We have difficult, painful, essential work ahead of us to repair the bonds between our police and our communities and between and among each other. We need one another to do this work and we need leaders, like the NAACP.
We need police officers to help us make progress. These murderers threaten all of that. Killing police officers is a terrible crime. That’s why our laws treat the murderers of police so seriously, because they represent the rule of law itself. If you take aim at that and at them, you take aim at all of us. Anyone who kills a police officer and anyone who helps must be held accountable.
And as president, I will bring the full weight of the law to bear and making sure those who kill police officers are brought to justice. There can be no justification, no looking the other way. We all have to make sure and pray it ends. The officers killed yesterday in Baton Rouge were named Montrell Jackson, Matthew Gerald, Brad Garafola. When they died, they were responding to a call about a man with a gun.
How many families — how many more families would be paying the price if we did not have brave men and women answering those calls? That’s why I’m haunted by the image of what the officers in Dallas were doing when they died, protecting a peaceful march, talking with the protesters.
Where would our democracy be without courageous people willing to do that? So, we all need to be partners in making law enforcement as secure and effective as it needs to be. That means investing in our police in training on the proper use of force, especially lethal force, how to avoid using force to resolve incidents.
Officer safety and wellness — everything they need to do their jobs right and rebuild trust with their communities.
I’ve said from the beginning of my campaign that will be my priority as president. And perhaps the best way to honor our police is to follow the lead of police departments across the country who are striving to do better.
The deaths of Alton and Philando drove home how urgently we need to make reforms to policing and criminal justice… how we cannot rest until we root out implicit bias and stop the killings of African-Americans.
Because there is, as you know so well, another hard truth at the heart of this complex matter. Many African-Americans fear the police.
I can hear you, some of you in this room. And today, there are people all across America sick over what happened in Baton Rouge and in Dallas, but also fearful that the murders of police officers means that vital questions about police-community relations will go unanswered.
Now that is a reasonable fear, isn’t it?
And all of this tells us very powerfully that we have to change. Many police officers across the country agree with that. But it can only happen if we build trust and accountability. And let’s admit it, that gets harder every time someone else is killed.
So now is the time for all good people, who agree that these senseless killings must end, to stand up, speak out loudly and clearly. I know that the NAACP and so many of you, individually, will do all you can to help our nation heal and start the work together to meet these challenges.
We must reform our criminal justice system because everyone is safer when there is respect for the law and when everyone is respected by the law.
And let’s admit it, there is clear evidence that African- Americans are disproportionately killed in police incidents compared to any other group.
And African-American men are far more likely to be stopped and searched by police, charged with crimes and sentenced to longer prison terms than white men convicted of the same offenses.
These facts tell us something is profoundly wrong. We can’t ignore that, we can’t wish it away. We have to make it right. That means end-to-end reform in our criminal justice system, not half measures, but a full commitment with real follow-through.
That’s why the very first speech I gave in this campaign back in April of 2015 was about criminal justice reform.
And the next president should make a commitment to fight for the reforms we so desperately need — holding police departments like Ferguson accountable.
Requiring accurate data on in-custody deaths, like Sandra Bland.
Creating clear national guidelines on the use of force, especially lethal force.
Supporting independent investigations of fatal encounters with the police.
So, I pledge to you, I will start taking action on day one and every day after that until we get this done.
And you know what? When the 24-hour news cycle moves on, I won’t.
This is too important. This goes to the heart of who we are. This is about our character as Americans.
That’s why we also need to fix the crisis of mass incarceration, eliminate the disparity in sentencing between crack and powder cocaine, dismantle the school-to-prison pipeline that starts in school and diverts too many African-American kids out of school and into the criminal justice system, instead of giving them the education they deserve to have.
And we need to do — all of us need to do, and I look forward to working with the NAACP. We need to do a much better job helping people who have paid their debt to society find jobs and support when they get out.
You know, America is well known and we want to be a land of second chances, but so many Americans never had a first chance to begin with.So let’s give everyone a fair chance at rebuilding their lives as Abraham Lincoln said, “give everyone a fair chance in the race of life.”
My plan would make significant investments in reentry programs for those formally incarcerated and I will ban the box in the federal government.
People deserve a real shot at an interview instead being told no right out of the gate. And then beyond criminal justice, we must, we must fight for common-sense reforms to stop gun violence.
This is, by far, gun violence, by far the leading cause of death for young African-American men outstripping the next nine causes of death combined. The wrong people, the wrong people keep getting their hands on guns, and not just any guns, military weapons like the kind the Dallas shooter had which allowed him to outgun the police.
That’s why the Cleveland police yesterday demanded that the state suspend the open carrying of weapons on the streets during the Republican National Convention.
And last week, the extraordinary aspiring Dallas Police Chief, Chief Brown, told lawmakers, do your job, we are doing ours, he said.
He’s right. When he went on to say, we’re putting our lives on the line, we’ve got to do better and people who should care about protecting police officers should be committed to getting assault weapons off the streets to start with.
And they should join us in instituting comprehensive background checks because law enforcement officers are nearly 50 percent — nearly 50 percent less likely to be killed in states where there are checks on the purchase of handguns.
But even if we succeeded in passing these laws and implementing them, we’d have to go further than that. We need to do something about the racial inequities in our health care system.
Right now, black kids are 500 percent more likely to die from asthma than white kids. 500 percent. Right now a black baby in South Carolina is twice as likely to die before her first birthday as a white baby.
Imagine if those numbers were reversed and it were white kids dying. Imagine the outcry and the resources that would flood in.
And let’s do everything we can to create more jobs in places where unemployment remains stubbornly high, after generations of under-investment and neglect.
I’m a big fan of Congressman Jim Clyburn’s 10-20-30 plan, steering 10 percent of federal investments to neighborhoods where 20 percent of the population has been living below the poverty line for 30 years.
That should go nation-wide, because the unemployment rate among young African-Americans is twice as high for young whites. And because of that, my plan also includes $20 billion aimed specifically at creating jobs for young people.
If you don’t get that first job, it’s hard to get the second job and it’s hard to build a solid financial base. And because of the Great Recession, we have so fallen back. The median wealth for black families is now just a tiny fraction of the median wealth for white families.
That’s why plan includes steps to help more African-American families buy a home, which has always been one of the surest ways to build wealth and security for a family.
And we will do more to support small business and black entrepreneurs to get access to capital. And I want to give a shoutout to black women who represent the fastest growing segment of women- owned businesses in America.
I want to unleash all of the energy and all of that talent. We need to view these issues also as part of the struggle for civil rights.
Rosa Parks opened up every seat on the bus. Our challenge now is to expand jobs so everyone can afford the fair.
And let’s ensure that the bus route reaches every neighborhood and connects every family with safe, affordable housing, good jobs and quality schools.
Now, I know none of this will surprise those of you who know me. I do have a lot of plans. You can go to my website, hillaryclinton.com, and read our full agenda.
Because you see, I have this old-fashioned idea: if you’re running for president, you should say exactly what you want to do and how you will get it done.
I — I do sweat the specifics, because I think they matter, whether one more kid gets health care, one more person finds a job, or one more woman entrepreneur gets access to capital to follow her dream — those just may be details in Washington, but it really matters to those people and their families.
And the truth is, we need to plan how we’re going to address the complex set of economic, social and political challenges we face. They’re intersectional; they’re reinforcing. We’ve got to take them all on. We can’t wait and just do one at a time.
But the answers won’t come just from Washington. Ending systemic racism requires contributions from us all, especially, especially those of us who haven’t experienced it ourselves. Now…
I’ve been saying this for a while now. I’m going to keep saying it because I think it’s important. We white Americans need to do a better job of listening when African-Americans talk about the seen and unseen barriers you face every day.
We need to recognize our privilege and practice humility rather than assume that our experiences are everyone’s experiences. We all need to try as best we can to walk in one another’s shoes, to imagine what it would be like to sit our son or daughter down and have the talk about how carefully they need to act around police because the slightest wrong move could get them hurt or even killed.
Let’s also put ourselves in the shoes of police officers, kissing their kids and spouses goodbye every day and heading off to a dangerous job that their families pray will bring them home safe at night. Empathy works both ways. We’ve got to try to see the world through their eyes, too.
When you get right down to it, that’s what makes it possible for people from every background, every race, every religion to come together as one nation. It’s what makes our country endure, and in times like these, we need a president who can help call us together, not split us apart.
I will work every single day to do just that. And what I am about to say, I say with no satisfaction. The Republican nominee for president will do the exact opposite.
Now, he — he might say otherwise if he were here, but of course, he declined your invitation.
So all we can go on is what he has said and done in the past. Donald Trump led the movement to delegitimize our first black president, trumpeting the so-called birther movement. Donald Trump plays coy with white supremacists. Donald Trump insults Mexican immigrants, even an American judge born of Mexican heritage.
Donald Trump demeans women. Donald Trump wants to ban an entire religion from entering our country. And Donald Trump loves to talk to the press.
But let’s not forget — let us not forget the first time Donald Trump was quoted in the New York Times was in 1973 when the Justice Department went after his company for refusing to rent apartments to African-Americans.
It was one of the largest federal cases of its kind at the time and when federal investigators spoke with Trump’s employees, they said they were instructed to mark rental applications from black people with a ‘c.’ A ‘c’ for ‘colored.’
By now, we’ve heard a lot of troubling things about Donald Trump, but that one’s shocking. This man is the nominee of the party of Lincoln and we are watching it become the party of Trump and that is not just a huge loss to our democracy. It is a threat to our democracy.
And it all adds up. It all adds up to an undeniable conclusion. I do not care if you are a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, Donald Trump cannot become president of the United States.
And you know, that’s why we’ve got to work together to get the vote out this fall. You know that better than anyone. That is why the theme of this conference is our lives matter, our votes count.
I agree with both of that. And now I think your votes count more than ever. That’s why we’ve got to stand up against any attempt to roll back the clock on voting rights. Encourage everyone, everyone we know to stand up and be counted in this November election.
As Dr. King said, our lives begin to end when we become silent about things that matter. None of us — none of us can afford to be silent with so much at stake.
That’s why here today I am pleased to announce a nationwide drive to get 3 million people to register to vote and commit to vote in this election.
(APPLAUSE) We are hosting more than 500 register ration events this week across the country. We’re going to minor league baseball games, college campuses, barbershops, hair salons, street corners and with those we cannot connect with in person, we have created an online one- stop shop voter registration tool in English and Spanish.
And my team in Ohio wanted me to make sure you all know we are hiring.
We actually have a recruiter here today. He has got a table set up in the hall. We are hiring paid organizers to help us get out the vote and get our message across. All across Ohio.
So please, spread the word. We want great people on our team. That’s the way we’re going to be successful. We’re not the red team or the blue team. We’re the American team and it’s time we start acting like it!
I have no doubt we can rise to meet these challenges if we stand together, no doubt at all. And if we are looking for inspiration, let’s go to one of the officers killed yesterday.
Ten days ago, Montrell Jackson, a young African-American police officer in Baton Rouge, posted a message on Facebook. He wrote so honestly and powerfully about the struggle of being black and wearing blue in today’s America. “I’m tired physically and emotionally,” he wrote. “In uniform, I get nasty, hateful looks. And out of uniform, they consider me a threat.”
He went on, “These are trying times. Please don’t let hate infect your heart. I’m working in these streets, so any protesters, officers, friends, family, or whoever, if you see me,” Montrell said, “and need a hug or want to say a prayer, I got you.”
That, my friends, is the strength of America, men like Montrell Jackson. Despite all our challenges, that spirit of love and community must guide us still. We have to heal the divides that remain, make the United States what it should be; stronger and fairer, more opportunity for every one of our people.
I would not be standing here on the brink of accepting the Democratic nomination if I did not believe, if I did not in my heart believe that America’s best years are still ahead of us. So, let us go forward with faith, with confidence, with optimism. Our children and our grandchildren deserve no less.
Thank you all. God bless you and God bless the United States of America.
Clinton spoke in Cincinnati yesterday about her drive to register three million new voters.

The Briefing has the transcript:
“Wow.  Yay!  Thank you.  Thank you so much.  I am so thrilled to be here with your great senator.  I saw some of you, ‘I love you, I love you,’ to Sherrod Brown.  I love him too.  I think his record of service to not only Ohio but now to the country is just extraordinary.  He stands up and works for and fights for the people of this state, particularly working people, middle-class families, day in and day out.  And it is such a great personal privilege to be here with him, to have worked with him, and to be his friend.  So I thank him for that kind introduction.  I thank him for what he did back when he was secretary of state, what he did when he was in the Congress, and what he’s doing now in the United States Senate.
And I have to say, it would be great to send him a Democratic colleague, so please remember Ted Strickland.
I want to thank Umeirra, our coordinated campaign organizer, who was out here just a little while ago introducing us, because really, I am just thrilled to see this gym packed with all of you who are interested in working with us, with Sherrod Brown and me and our campaign, to register voters and get voters to understand what’s at stake in this election.
Now, it is clear that we have a lot of work to do.  Every election is close, and we can’t take anybody or anyplace for granted.  So I’m going to do everything I can to draw the contrasts with the Republicans, who are currently meeting up in Cleveland, and I think it’s fair to say we’re going to hear a lot about taking our country backwards – because that’s really what they mean when they talk about making us great again.
Donald Trump and his vice presidential candidate and his team want to roll back the hard-won progress that we have made in our nation.  And a lot of Americans are upset about that, and they are asking, ‘What can I do?  What can I do to stop this dangerous, divisive candidate from getting within a thousand miles of the White House?’
Well, I can tell you, it is not enough to yell at your TV screen. It is not enough to send a nasty tweet.  That is not enough.  You have to get registered and get out to vote in November. Because Sherrod and I know that if we get people registered, and then persuade them to come out and vote, it won’t even be close.
Because we know what the vast majority of Americans want.  They want a positive future.  They want more good jobs with rising incomes.  They want good schools with good teachers in every ZIP Code.  They want to be able to afford their healthcare, their prescription drugs.  They want us to honor the fact that we are a nation of immigrants.  Because it makes us stronger in our diversity.
And they want us to respect and support our police officers while bringing about criminal justice reform to make sure that we don’t have any more tragic killings.  I mean, our nation experienced another horrific tragedy yesterday in Baton Rouge, and I spoke about it at length at the NAACP, where both Sherrod and I appeared earlier today.
Now, it was so heartbreaking to see another American city affected by this terrible gun violence that took, in this case, the lives of officers, just like it was in Dallas, just like before that, the two gentlemen in Baton Rouge and in Minneapolis, who died in police encounters.  This must stop.  We are better than this.  And we need to work together to deal with the complex of problems.  We need to put ourselves in the shoes of African-American families whose young people go out and they worry that they’re not going to come back safely.
And we need to put ourselves in the shoes of our police officers who kiss their kids and their spouse goodbye in the morning, and go out and put themselves in danger for us. And we need to put ourselves in the shoes of every person in this country who has lost a loved one to gun violence.
Congress has done nothing.  And it’s not just guns.  Congress has failed to address so many of the important issues that we face.  That’s why this election, no matter what issue you care about  – and if we had time, every one of you could tell us what you care about. Every single one of you.  Nothing will get done if we don’t band together right now and plan to turn out as many people as possible to win this election in November.
So that’s why I’m here.  Because today, our campaign is launching a nationwide drive to get more than 3 million Americans to register and commit to vote in the election.  Today and in the ahead, we are hosting more than 500 registration events, from the Detroit Eastern Market, to minor-league baseball games in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, to college campuses in Wisconsin.  And if we cannot connect with people one on one, we’ve created an online one-stop shop voter registration tool in both English and Spanish.
And I hope each and every one of you will follow through on your commitment to volunteer to help launch this campaign, to get the momentum going.  To get others to sign up for a voter registration shift with our organizers here today.  They’re holding clipboards – that’s how you can identify them.  Look at all the clipboards.
And please come to one of our offices in Walnut Hills, or Woodlawn, and bring friends.  Bring five friends if you can.  And I want you to hear this.  We are also hiring. Go to Hillaryclinton.com […] We are actually hiring people of all ages.  As long as you can get out there and register voters, if you’re interested, we want you.  Because I want […] to sweep Ohio. I want everybody to know we are doing this.  Now, we may not end up with ketchup on the form, Sherrod, but we’re going to end up – if we do this the way we’re planning, with a lot of people – and that will enable us to fight for every vote in this state.  And with your help, we’re going to win it, because we are stronger together.  And I believe with all my heart that America’s best years are still ahead of us if we do our part.
And that’s important for all of us, but it’s particularly important for our young people.  Because I want you to have the same confidence and optimism about our future that prior generations of Americans have had.  That doesn’t mean you don’t have to work hard.  It doesn’t mean you don’t have to be prepared to do the job that you get to do in life.
But it means the jobs will be there.  And they’ll have rising incomes.  And we will tackle this problem of inequality, and get back to where we are growing middle class, creating more pathways into a better future.  That’s ultimately what this is all about.  Register voters so that we can get them to the polls, so that we can win in November, and then we can get to work to make sure America has the future that every one of us deserves.  Thank you all very much.”
Clinton was interviewed by Charlie Rose, and in addition to her descriptions of Trump himself, her characterization of the whole ticket as “a meeting of no minds” is my new favorite line from her.

CBS reports:
Hillary Clinton believes that Donald Trump is the most dangerous man ever to run for president of the United States.
"What he has laid out is the most dangerous, reckless approach to being president than I think we've ever seen," Clinton said in an hour-long interview with "CBS This Morning" host Charlie Rose Monday.
She was asked by Rose about Trump's vice presidential pick, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence and her comment that he's the most extreme vice presidential nominee in a generation on social issues.
"On social issues I believe that's true," Clinton told Rose. "And I recently read that he's not sure he believes in evolution. And since Trump doesn't believe in climate change, you know, perhaps there's a meeting of no minds there."
She also talked a little about her own search for a running mate, though she gave away little about her process. "I've met with a bunch of folks," she said. She evaded a question about how close she is to making a decision. Rose noted that former Virginia Gov. Tim had said he's too boring to be a vice president, which Clinton just laughed off -- she praised him as a "world-class mayor, governor and senator." "First class" was her response to the idea of Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper. Of Elizabeth Warren, Clinton said we should all be grateful for Warren's efforts to put inequality "front and center."
Asked about a series of national polls out in the past week that show Trump closing the gap with Clinton, the presumptive Democratic nominee said that the recent surveys reflect only the beginning of the campaign.
"There is a lot of fear in our country," she said, "and when Americans are worried they're looking for answers. He's providing simplistic, easy answers. 'Let's make America great again,' which means basically, 'We'll go back to the way it was, and who ever you are out there, it will be better.' That is a wrong-headed view of history."
Clinton said she intends to speak to Americans' fears and show the electorate that she can be trusted.
"Part of it is seeking this job at this time of fear, anxiety, discouragement, rejectionism that is, unfortunately, part of our political environment right now," she said. "And I hope by the time we have this election, it will be clear to voters who they can count on."
Also in the interview, Clinton rejected the notion that the primary campaign had moved her to the left:

Clinton’s favorability is in positive territory with ten demographic groups, and there’s a reason for her unfavorables that Trump can’t claim for himself.
Melissa McEwan writes for Blue Nation Review:
Donald is disliked, in large part, because he is a bigot and a bully. And Hillary is disliked, in some part, because she refuses to alienate the same marginalized people that Donald targets. In a March article in the New York Times about white male voters who don’t favor Hillary, white men expressed their concerns that she was spending too much time talking to and about people who aren’t white men.
One man said plainly: “She’s talking to minorities now, not really to white people, and that’s a mistake.” Another said: “If I’m a woman, I probably vote for Hillary. If I’m Hispanic, I vote for Hillary. Blacks will vote for Hillary. But white people, especially white men—she has a big problem there.” A third complained: “I really wonder if she wants people like me in the Democratic Party.”
The modern Republican Party didn’t invent the identity-based divisions in this country, but they have ruthlessly exploited them, fomenting profound resentments against marginalized people—resentments which Donald has now made the centerpiece of his campaign.
Hillary, on the other hand, has spent her campaign talking about what she is going to do to help the marginalized people harmed by these resentments and the institutional systems of oppression that have been erected to safeguard privilege. “Breaking down barriers” is central to her message. Opportunities, access, justice for people who are denied these things.
I cannot put this any more plainly: Donald is polarizing because he traffics in bigotry. Hillary is polarizing because she advocates eradicating it.
The question of whether any candidate has the capacity to unite the country is the wrong one to ask. No candidate in our deeply partisan country has the singular capacity to unite us all. The question is whether any candidate is running a campaign that seeks to unite people.
Clearly, Hillary is doing that—and Donald emphatically isn’t. If people refuse to unite behind Hillary because unity requires centering people who have been left out, that isn’t her fault.
If social progress were popular, we wouldn’t need social progress in the first place. Resistance is what necessitates champions.
Hillary is a champion. Donald is an exploiter of the very divisions she seeks to remove.
Josh Marshall at Talking Points Memo analyzes the polls on the eve of the Republican National Convention:
In all likelihood Clinton is ahead. The current PollTracker Average puts Clinton ahead by 2.9 points. But that trend estimate figures in three polls over the last two+ weeks from Rasmussen, all of which show Trump ahead. We know Rasmussen's reputation from the past. It seems to be an even more Republican-outlier in its current incarnation. Other than Rasmussen, no poll has shown Trump ahead since an ABC/WaPo poll in mid-May at the height of Trump post-clinch bounce. If we remove Rasmussen from the trend estimate Clinton's margin moves to 4.5 points.
Besides Clinton narrow margin, two things stand out to me about this race and give me a fair degree of confidence (but no more than that) that Clinton will be elected in November.
Look at the trend chart above. Through all the vicissitudes of the last 6 months, Trump has never moved into a lead or even a tie within Clinton. Not after he clinched the nomination in May or after James Comey's press conference about the email scandal. Some of the ups and downs you see seem to be the result of news events. Others look more like artifacts of the schedule of polls. The rush of national news media sponsored polls over the last couple days have buoyed Clinton's numbers. The high point she had about a month ago also came around the time when the same organizations all released polls. PollTracker treats the polls the same. But I have always placed more personal weight on these polls because of the track record of the methodology and organizations running them. So if you're looking for reasons to think Clinton may be doing a bit better than the average suggests, there's your reason. But it's usually best just to look at the numbers in aggregate rather than scrutinizing them too closely because it's easy to slide into a self-serving cherry-picking of data. But again: looking at all the numbers together, the trend estimate does not show Trump ever able to draw even or move into the lead.
We've seen enough data at this point that this is not random and appears to be a highly persistent characteristic of the race. It tells me a simple fact: Clinton's coalition is simply larger than Trump's. That's close to saying more people are supporting her than Trump (obvious), but not exactly. What I'm saying is that the communities and demographic subgroupings that Clinton is able to appeal to are larger than Trump's. So even when she's having a bad run and he's having a good one, she always remains, though sometimes only slightly, on top.
Another way of looking at this is that for all the narrative about a close race Trump seems to have a very hard time getting much over 40% in the polls. Clinton gets down there with him sometimes too. But she also gets into the high 40s frequently. There seem to be technical markers keeping Trump from getting much over 40% and another preventing his trend line from ever moving ahead of Clinton's.
The second thing that stands out to me is closely related to this point but comes at it from a different angle. The polls that have rich data on demographic sub-groups - whites, African-Americans, Hispanics, men and women, etc. - mostly show Trump underperforming against Mitt Romney. Indeed, this is basically true of all demographic groups. White men, white women, college educated whites - even with these groups where he is usually ahead he is almost always underperforming Romney.
Obviously, since Romney lost and the demographic groups that favor Democrats (specifically, racial and ethnic minorities and millennials) have gotten a bit larger in the last four years, Trump can't really afford to underperform Romney anywhere unless he massively over-performs his numbers elsewhere. That doesn't seem to be happening.
Peter Daou writes for Blue Nation Review about double standards in the media:
With Hillary, it’s all about her supposed “dishonesty,” “lies,” and “untrustworthiness.” For Donald, it’s “creativity with the truth.”
This double standard isn’t new. The story of Hillary’s phenomenal primary victory is the story of millions of Americans defying a torrent of anti-Hillary talking points and false frames to carry her to victory.
For the duration of the 2016 campaign, Hillary has been subjected to relentlessly negative coverage, perhaps best illustrated by a deceptive and dishonest Quinnipiac poll that HillaryMen debunked in the fall of 2015. As we wrote at the HillaryMen site, Quinnipiac claimed to have found that the most cited description of the most admired woman in American politics was “liar.”
The media jumped on it. Commentators seized on it as definitive proof that the American electorate distrusts Hillary. That bogus poll set off a cascade of coverage about her supposed “dishonesty” that continues to reverberate today.
But the conclusion was a sham. We deconstructed the poll, looked at the internals and found that it was highly misleading. While Quinnipiac presented the poll as evidence that voters associated “liar” with Hillary, we demonstrated that it was Republican and Republican-leaning respondents to the Q-poll who linked Hillary to liar and other derogatory terms (including “bitch”). It is a vastly different thing for Republicans, parroting Fox news and talk radio, to hurl misogynistic insults at Hillary than for all voters to believe she is a liar.
This “liar” poll was the proverbial egg that can’t be uncracked, the genie that can’t be put back into the bottle. “A lie can travel half way around the world while the truth is putting on its shoes.”
The vast amount of airtime given to that Q poll — as recently as June, 2016, a CNN guest alluded to it as though it were simply an established fact that most Americans have always associated Hillary with the word “liar” — contributed to negative impressions of Hillary, a self-reinforcing process I’ve described in simple terms:
  • MEDIA: Is Hillary a liar? Is Hillary a liar? Is Hillary a liar?
  • PUBLIC: Maybe Hillary is a liar.
  • MEDIA: See, we told you Hillary is a liar.
And finally, “An Open Letter to Donald Trump” — Clinton’s latest campaign video:


1 comment:

  1. The #Winner of this Cleveland Mess. Hillary Clinton. And It is a Mess.