In Georgia, three recent polls have Hillary Clinton within the margin of error behind Donald Trump:
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are locked in a statistical tie in Georgia, according to an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll that laid bare the deep divide over the presidential race.
Trump’s 4-point lead over Clinton — he’s at 45 percent — is within the poll’s margin of error, meaning neither can confidently claim a state that’s voted for the GOP nominee since 1996. ...
The poll gives new heft to claims by Georgia Democrats that they can turn the Peach State blue, or at least a shade of purple, for the first time since Bill Clinton’s 1992 victory.A second Georgia poll this week also shows Clinton (41%) well within striking distance of Trump (44%), while still another poll from two weeks ago had her only trailing by one point.
But the map might just expand even further for the Democrats this November:
The Presidential election is pretty competitive in Arizona at this point. Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton just 40-38, with Gary Johnson at 6% and Jill Stein at 2%. There's a significant 'Never Trump' contingent among Arizona Republicans. While Clinton gets 80% of the Democratic vote, Trump is only getting 68% of the GOP vote at this stage. That number tracks with our finding that just 65% of Republicans say they're comfortable with Trump as their nominee to 22% who say they aren't. When you narrow the field to just Clinton and Trump though, Trump's lead goes up to 45/41 because his share of the GOP vote increases to 77%. 15% of Republicans are undecided compared to 8% of Democrats, so if the party really unites around Trump eventually he'll get close to being up by the kind of margins Republicans are accustomed to in the state but for now it's tight.This tweet from the pollster makes an important point about how the continuing battle with Sanders is hurting Clinton in general election polls right now:
Once Hillary officially crosses the nomination finish line, she will be able to truly begin the process of party unification with the help of the White House, Elizabeth Warren, and (hopefully, eventually) Bernie himself. And her support should truly solidify after this summer's convention.Entire difference btwn how Clinton/Sanders do v. Trump: Clinton up 39/32 with voters under 45, but Sanders up 52/29: https://t.co/VcNPx0AmHi— PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) May 17, 2016
Right now, though, I suspect we're near the low-water mark in terms of Clinton's numbers versus Trump. Even so, she's still competitive in two reliably red states...and Republicans everywhere should be absolutely terrified.