Sunday, April 24, 2016

Hillary News & Views 4.24: Trump's "Extreme Makeover", Delegate Math, Smacking Down VP Talk


Today’s Hillary News & Views begins with Clinton warning voters about Trump's attempt at rebranding for the general election.

New York Times reports:
“Trump,” she said at a rally here on Saturday, “keeps saying things like, ‘Well, you know, uh, I didn’t really mean it. It was all part of my reality TV show.’”
“Well, you know what?” she added. “If we buy that, shame on us. Because he’s already showed us what he believes and he’s already said what he wants to do, and he wants to go after every one of the rights we have.”
In a commanding position in the Democratic race, Mrs. Clinton focused on making a case against Mr. Trump and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas when she spoke to voters who gathered here in a high school gymnasium.
Criticizing Mr. Trump over foreign policy, she brought up his call to temporarily bar Muslims from entering the country as well as his views on NATO and nuclear proliferation.
“Loose cannons tend to misfire,” she said, “and what we have with him is the loosest of all cannons.”
Clinton’s campaign has reinforced this message with a new ad -”Extreme Makeover”:

Back to the primary, the Associated Press looks at the delegate math:
If Clinton were to win four or five states Tuesday, as preference polling suggests, she will extend her pledged delegate lead to about 300.
The most likely scenario: big hauls in Pennsylvania and Maryland, and modest gains in Delaware, Connecticut and Rhode Island.
At that point, she would need to win just 35 percent or so of the remaining delegates from primaries and caucuses to maintain her lead in pledged delegates. In actuality, she's been winning 55 percent so far.
More significantly, doing well on Tuesday would likely cement her support among superdelegates. Clinton now holds a 513-38 advantage among those party officials. An additional 163 superdelegates have yet to commit, but many have told the AP that they ultimately will support the candidate who wins the most delegates in the primaries and caucuses.
Never before have superdelegates lifted a candidate to the Democratic nomination when he or she trailed in pledged delegates.
When superdelegates are included, Clinton's lead after an average performance on Tuesday would require Sanders to start winning far more than the three of every four delegates he needs now just to catch up.
Do a little better than that, and Clinton can reasonably expect to clinch the nomination by June 7 — before the first votes are even counted in California.
Meanwhile, as news outlets begin to talk about Clinton’s potential VP pick,  the campaign is smacking down the speculation:

Clinton thinks Britain should stay in the European Union.

The Guardian reports:
In a statement to the Observer, her senior policy adviser, Jake Sullivan, said: “Hillary Clinton believes that transatlantic cooperation is essential, and that cooperation is strongest when Europe is united. She has always valued a strong United Kingdom in a strong EU. And she values a strong British voice in the EU.” Sources close to the former secretary of state’s campaign said she stood fully behind Obama’s opposition to Brexit, which the president said on Friday would not only undermine the international institutions, including the EU, that had bound nations closer together since 1945, but would also mean the UK being at “the back of the queue” when negotiating new trade deals.
Clinton is now playing Prince on the campaign trail.

The Hill reports:
The Democratic presidential candidate walked out to Prince’s iconic song “Let’s Go Crazy” at a campaign rally Friday in Dunmore, Pennsylvania. 
Clinton said Thursday she was “stunned” to learn of Prince’s death. 
“You think of him as being almost eternal,” she told Philadelphia radio station WDAS-FM. “I mean, he was a bigger-than-life personality. He was not only a songwriter and a singer but literally a one-man band. He was such a great showman. I just was so, so sad.” 
“I just want everybody to spend some time reflecting on this American original,” she added. “He was so extraordinary.” 
The historic nature of Clinton’s potential presidency should not be overlooked.

The Guardian reports:
To announce you’re excited about Hillary Clinton is an oddly subversive act, and to suggest others ought to feel the same, even more so.
But following a decisive victory in New York and with her path to the presidency ever-more surefooted, the possibility of the first female president is sinking in. And whatever your feelings about Clinton as the vessel for this achievement, it’s an extraordinary one.
Even those who can’t appreciate the symbolism of the first woman president, can surely appreciate the political victories of a candidate who’s spent her life fighting for women’s rights. And Clinton has, from leading on developments of the Paycheck Fairness Act to carving out a name for herself around paid family leave, and from working at the Children’s Defense Fund early in her career to speaking up for abortion access and minority rights on the campaign trail.
More, her lived experience means she sees the world differently than her white male counterparts and when it comes to sexism, she sees more. She has a visceral understanding of discrimination, an understanding that’s colored by her experience as someone who’s endured it herself, in politics and in media and in life, for decades and at times to an excruciating degree. Frankly, it’s a miracle she still wants to run for public office.


1 comment:

  1. There is a magazine piece in the NYT titled 'how Hillary became a Hawk' (fallacy based on assumption).

    Hillary is not a hawk by any definition of hawk meaning someone who prefers force over diplomacy, so she can't have become one.

    The fact that she can relate to people in many walks of life is a product of her childhood and her personality, she was really middle class, and she married a guy who grew up on a lower economic rung. She really is nice and enjoys chatting people up. She likes to hear stories and she can 'relate.' She chats up kids, she chats up those who perform services, she isn't used to servants, she'll never treat anyone as if they are invisible. The fact that she gathers data and opinions from experts, that she prepares but also listens, is an IQ thing, smart + curious.

    But even so I sort of liked the piece, the conclusions about her weren't accurate, by definition can't be, but they are conclusions of people who met her. So they are themselves facts of a sort.

    I liked this quote:

    “She sat down,” he recalls, “took her shoes off, put her feet up on the coffee table and said, ‘General, do you know where a gal can get a cold beer around here?’ ”

    I don't know if it's totally factual, it's the guy's memory, but it has a ring of truth. She made him feel comfortable with her, she let him know she didn't expect or want him to 'defer' to her 'station,' she just wanted to chat him up.

    I am highly against war and yet I know there are girls who've been kidnapped and to release them will take counter-violence. I am against police brutality and yet I know that without law the strong would prey on the weak. I see American exceptionalism as fact and not opinion, what ought we do with our power and our wealth?

    Just like Hillary I think saving life and earth is a best idea. And like Hillary I am against squalor and barriers.

    And this narrative, while not fact based in that she is no hawk, tells parts of the truth of Hillary, in that she is also not a dove, she may not always defend herself, particularly when she sees defending herself as a distraction, but she'll defend those who need defending.

    She is aware of America's power, and she's read the Purloined Letter.