Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Hillary News & Views 4.20: "There's No Place Like Home!"


Today’s Hillary News & Views is all about her big victory yesterday in the New York primary.
Vox has the transcript of her victory speech:
Thank you all so much. Thank you, you know, today, today you proved once again:
There's no place like home.
You know, in this campaign we have won in every region of the country. From the north, to the south, to the east, to the west.
But this one's personal.
New Yorkers, you have always -- you have always had my back, and I have always tried to have yours. Today, together, we did it again — and I am deeply, deeply grateful. I want to thank everyone who came out and voted and to all of you across New York, who have known me and worked with me for so long.
It is humbling. It's humbling that you'd trust me with the awesome responsibilities that await our next president.
And to all the people who supported Senator Sanders: I believe there is much more that unites us than divides us.
You know, we started this race not far from here, on Roosevelt Island. Pledging to build on the progressive tradition that's done so much for America, from Franklin Roosevelt to Barack Obama.
And tonight, a little less than a year later, the race for the nomination is in the home stretch, and victory is in sight. And I want to — I want to say to all of my supporters, and all of the voters: You have carried us every step of the way, with passion and determination that some critics tried to dismiss. Because of you, this campaign is the only one, Democrat or Republican, (which has) won more than 10 million votes.
But I am going forward because more voices remain to be heard. And tomorrow, it's on to Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and beyond. We need to you keep volunteering. I hope you will join the one million people who already contributed at And by the way, most with less than $100 because we have more work to do.
Under the bright lights of New York, we have seen that it's not enough to diagnose problems. You have to explain how you actually solve the problems. That's what we have to do — for our kids, for each other, for our country.
So I want you, with me, to imagine a tomorrow where no barriers hold you back — and all of our people can share in the promise of America. Imagine a tomorrow where every parent can find a good job and every grandparent can enjoy a secure retirement. Where no child grows up in the shadow of discrimination or under the specter of deportation. Where hard work is honored, families are supported, and communities are strong. A tomorrow where we trust and respect each other despite our differences. Because we're going to make positive differences in people's lives.
That is what this is supposed to be about. Actually helping people and each other
We all know too many people who are still hurting. I see it everywhere I go. The great recession wiped out jobs, homes, and savings, and a lot of Americans haven't yet recovered. But I still believe, with all my heart, that as another great Democratic president once said: "There's nothing wrong with America that can't be cured by what's right with America." That is after all what we have always done. It's who we are.
America is a problem-solver nation. And in this campaign we are setting bold, progressive goals backed up by real plans that will improve lives, creating more good jobs that provide dignity and pride in a middle class life, raising wages and reducing inequality. Making sure all our kids get a good education no matter what zip code they live in. Building ladders of opportunity and empowerment so all of our people can go as far as their hard work and talent will take them. Let's revitalize places that have been left out and left behind — from inner cities to coal country to Indian country. And let's put Americans to work rebuilding our crumbling infrastructure, including our failing water systems like the one in Flint, Michigan.
There are many places across our country where children and families are at risk from the water they drink and the air they breathe. Let's combat climate change and make America the clean energy super power of the 21st Century. Let's take on the challenge of systematic racism and invest in communities of color, and finally pass comprehensive immigration reform. And once and for all, let's (have) equal pay for women.
And we are going to keep our families safe and our country strong, and we're going to defend our rights — civil rights, voting rights, workers' rights, women's rights, LGBT rights, and rights for people with disabilities. Those are, after all, New York values and they are American values. And just as we did in this primary campaign, we need to stand up for them, through the general election and every day after that.
You know, it's becoming clearer that this may be one of the most consequential elections of our lifetime. Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are pushing a vision for America that's divisive and frankly dangerous: returning to trickle down economics, opposing any increase in the minimum wage, restricting a woman's right to make her own healthcare decisions, promising to round up millions of immigrants, threatening to ban all Muslims from entering the country, planning to treat American Muslims like criminals.
These things go against everything America stands for. And we have a very different vision. It's about lifting each other up, not tearing each other down. Instead of building walls we are going to break down barriers. And in this campaign I have seen again our remarkable diversity and determination. This is a state and a country of big-hearted, open-minded, straight-talking, hard-working people.
You know, like John, a firefighter from the south Bronx that I met shortly after 9/11 as he searched for survivors at Ground Zero — and like so many others — John got sick from breathing the toxic air. When we met again last week, he gave me a replica of his FDNY badge and thanked me for helping other first responders get the healthcare they need. We have to keep fighting for John and all of our firefighters and our police officers, our emergency responders and the construction workers who did so much for us.
Or Maxine, a 27-year-old single mom from Staten Island who is here tonight. She shared with me how she worked her way out of poverty, graduated from college — thanks in part to the help she got for her child from the Children's Health Insurance Program that we started in the 1990s.
Or Mikey from ... is Mikey here? Well, I will tell you, Mikey spent six months in Rikers' for a low-level drug offense. And he found out how hard it is for people who have done their time to find jobs when they get out. Mikey managed to do start his own ice cream shop. I took a lot of you in the media there yesterday. I highly recommend it — as you might have seen, I couldn't stop myself from eating it as soon as I got it. By the way, he made a concoction for me called Victory.
But Mikey is one of the many reasons why we have to reform our criminal justice system and "ban the box" so others have a fair chance to succeed. You know, New Yorkers and Americans speak every language, follow every faith, hail from every continent. Our diversity is one of our greatest strengths in the 21st Century. Not a weakness.
As Robert Kennedy, whose senate seat I was honored to hold, once said, 'we are a great country, an unselfish country, and a compassionate country.' And no matter what anyone tells you or what you might hear from others running for president, that is still true today.
America is great and we can do great things if we do them together. So, please join us, text, join, 47426, go to Be part of this campaign. I know how important it is that we get the campaign's resources from people just like you who go in and chip in $5, $25. I am grateful to every one of you.
And to the volunteers who have worked your hearts out. To the community leaders, members of the state senate and assembly, county executives, mayors of cities large and small, and to the mayor of New York, and our borough president, and our city council members, and to our governor, our senators, our congressional delegation.
And all my friends across this wonderful state of ours: thank you. You know, we're going to go up against some powerful forces that will do, say, and spend whatever it takes to stop us. But remember, it's not whether you get knocked down, it's whether you get back up.
Finally, let me say this, there is a remarkable young woman here tonight. Her name is Erica Smegielski. She lives the truth of what I've been saying every day. Erica's mother ... was the principal of Sandy Hook Elementary School. And she died trying to protect her children, her students.
Erica was devastated as any family member ... she couldn't imagine life without her mom. But then, she got thinking. She got back up. She'd never been involved in politics before. But she has made it her mission to advocate for common sense gun safety reform.
You know, like the mothers of Eric Garner and Trayvon Martin and so many others, Erica has turned her sorrow into a strategy and her mourning into a movement. It isn't easy. But as Erika said the other day: 'what if everyone who faced tough odds said, 'It's hard? So I'm going to walk away.' That's not the type of world I want to live in."
Erica, it's not the type of world we want to live in and we refuse to live in that [world]. To my friends, that's the spirit that makes this country great. It's how New Yorkers pulled together and rebuilt our city after the worst terrorist attack in our history. It's how Americans worked our way back from the worst economic crisis in our lifetimes. And it is how we're going to break down all the barriers holding us back.
The motto of this state is Excelsior — ever upwards — so let's go out and win this election, and all rise together.

FiveThirtyEight reports:
Clinton won the Democratic primary in New York on Tuesday by what looks to be about a 15 percentage point margin. While that generally matches pre-election polls, it is a devastating result for the Sanders campaign. The outcome almost certainly ensures that Clinton will beat Sanders in the elected delegate count after the final Democratic votes are counted in June.
Clinton entered the night with an elected delegate lead of about 205. That means, of course, that Sanders needs to catch-up. In order to do so, he has to win states with big delegate totals because of the proportional allocation rules that Democrats use in their primaries. Late last month, Nate calculated that Sanders needed to win New York by about 9 pledged delegates to remain on track for the nomination. Instead, Sanders lost the state by about 30 delegates or more. That’s a swing of about 40 delegates or more. To give you an idea of how big of a swing that is, that’s about double the total available delegates in Montana, which is expected to be a strong state for Sanders.
Indeed, the math just doesn’t look like it’s on Sanders’s side in upcoming contests. Besides Pennsylvania, he’s behind in all three of the other states with the biggest delegate prizes left on the calendar. He’s down 23 percentage points in Maryland — we originally estimated a 9-point Sanders loss would signal he was “on track.” Sanders trails Clinton by 9 points in New Jersey, which he originally needed to win by 6 points. Most importantly, he’s trailing by 13 percentage points in California, where he needed to win by 15 points.
Put simply, Sanders can’t win the Democratic nomination without a minor miracle. That doesn’t mean Sanders won’t continue to campaign, and minor miracles do sometimes happen. But the media shouldn’t sugarcoat this. There’s a reason the Sanders campaign is talking up superdelegates: Clinton can see the nomination in sight. Tonight reaffirmed that she is almost certainly going to be the Democratic nominee for president.
Washington Post reports:
According to the exit polls, Sanders won 67 percent of voters age 18 to 29. Clinton won all the others. Sanders eked out a 51 percent to 49 percent win over Clinton for the white vote. But Clinton won 75 percent of the African American vote and 63 percent of the Hispanic vote. 79 percent of Black woman supported Clinton. With the exception of the 50-50 split with Sanders of voters who have attended “some college,” Clinton won all education brackets. Those with a high school diploma or less (70 percent), a college degree (53 percent) and postgraduate degrees (56 percent) all went for Clinton.
Now for the unexpected part: Clinton evenly split the votes of those identifying as “liberal.” I thought for sure beforehand that result would have been more lopsided in favor of Sanders. Despite Sanders’s economic message geared toward the 99 percent, Clinton won all income groups. Her highest support (59 percent) was among those voters earning less than $30,000. Although Sanders did win 57 percent of the vote from those who said “income inequality” was the “most important issue”, Clinton won 59 percent of the vote of those who said the economy and jobs were their “most important issue.”
Politico reports:
Badly trailing Hillary Clinton in delegates and the popular vote despite his eight-of-nine winning streak, Bernie Sanders needed a dramatic moment in New York on Tuesday night to shake up the Democratic nomination contest before it’s simply too late.
Instead, it was Clinton who delivered the statement with a decisive win in her home state. With 90 precincts reporting, she led 58 to 42 percent, and was declared the winner by The Associated Press.
The emphatic win by Clinton could finally put to rest lingering doubts about her struggles to stamp out the Vermont independent — and allow her to finally pivot in earnest to the general election as the slugfest continues on the Republican side.
After a big loss in his native state for the Brooklyn-born Sanders, it won't get any easier. Five states that vote on April 26 — Pennsylvania, Maryland, Connecticut, Delaware and Rhode Island — are seen as largely playing to Clinton's strengths. Ted Devine, a senior adviser to Sanders, told the AP late Tuesday night that the campaign would "assess where we are" after those contests.
His campaign also seized on reports of voters having problems casting ballots on Tuesday.
But the size of Clinton's win swamped those complaints and left Sanders without room to even claim a moral victory.
New York Times reports:
She danced the merengue in Washington Heights. She slammed down a mean game of dominoes in East Harlem.
And in the East Village the day before the New York primary, Hillary Clinton broke her long-held rule of not eating in front of the news media by digging into an ice cream concoction named the Victory.
Mrs. Clinton seemed, for the first time in a rocky and unpredictable Democratic race, relaxed. “That’s what’s so great about being back here now for this primary,” she said at Mikey Likes It Ice Cream, where the owner had named the dessert in her honor. “I get to go to a lot of the places that I love. I get to meet new people and see people I’ve known for a long time.”
Mrs. Clinton has had dramatic highs and crushing lows in her political career and in this campaign. But since she first ran for office 16 years ago, New York has always been the state that loved her back, and on Tuesday it delivered one of her biggest boosts yet toward becoming the first woman to capture the Democratic Party’s nomination for president.
Aides say New York, and Mrs. Clinton’s record, relationship and ease with voters here, can serve as a blueprint for what they hope to show the rest of the country in subsequent primaries and the general election. The campaign ran a dozen ads in New York, more than in any state since New Hampshire. Many of them celebrated the city’s diversity and took aim at the leading Republican candidate, Donald J. Trump, for his comments about immigrants, Muslims and women.
[A]fter Mrs. Clinton voted on Tuesday at Douglas G. Grafflin Elementary School in Chappaqua, where she first saw her name on the ballot in 2000, the scattered rain that had been falling just minutes before had stopped. The clouds had parted.
“I love New York,” Mrs. Clinton said, squinting in the bright primary-day sun.
Bloomberg Politics reports:
Hillary Clinton's campaign is moving rapidly to set up the infrastructure she'll need for the general election, a process that will unfold mostly behind the scenes over the next seven weeks as the final Democratic primary votes are cast.
“In terms of a tactical, mechanical matter, we are preparing for a general election,” Clinton communications director Jennifer Palmieri said Tuesday night. “However hard it is is however hard it is.”
The campaign is at a stage where senior staff members are zeroing on the contest against the eventual Republican nominee, whether Trump or someone else. That means determining the size of paid and volunteer staff in battleground states, and setting voter registration and turnout targets. In addition, the campaign needs to coordinate early- and absentee-voting drives to ensure Clinton's voters show up at the polls, according to interviews with people inside the operation and others experienced with waging a national campaign.
Campaign manager Robby Mook declined to outline specific steps underway but said, “There’s a dozen or more states that we’ve got to get ramped up in. This stuff just takes time.”
Among the first tasks for Clinton's aides will be hiring. The campaign now has less than 1,000 staff members spread around the country. By comparison, Obama had about 4,000 full-time paid campaign staff for his 2012 re-election campaign.
Lynda Tran, a former national press secretary for Organizing for America, an offshoot of Obama's political campaign, said Clinton's aides likely are identifying and contacting key personnel “in a non-conspicuous way” in key locations. 
The campaign knows “the dozen or so battleground states she's going to need to really invest in and compete in,” Tran said. “Who are the pivotal people in those states? I have no doubt that's what they are doing right now in Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania.”



  1. I'm active on Facebook, and I'm reaching out to Bernie people in neutral groups, asking them what they need to hear from us, for them to tone down the language a little.

  2. Bernie headed home to think, maybe he'll go for party unity now.

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