Despite massively outspending Clinton (as usual) it appears that Sanders might actually be losing a bit of ground in New York as the election day approaches:
Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton maintains a double-digit lead over rival Bernie Sanders in New York as both candidates aggressively campaign around the state ahead of Tuesday’s primary, a NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll has found.
Clinton had the support of 57 percent of likely Democratic voters in the poll released Thursday, while Sanders held 40 percent. Those numbers mirror a NBCNews/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll released Monday, in which Clinton was supported by more than half of the respondents and had a 14-point lead over the U.S. senator from Vermont.No, these numbers don't "mirror" the last poll...she gained three points in just as many days.
Marist is a well-regarded pollster based out of New York, so having two polls from them just days apart is interesting indeed. Maybe a combination of "unqualified", "I'm meeting the pope (not)!" and the stark New York Daily News endorsement is leaving a mark?
Whatever the case, it's not looking good for Bernie...especially because this poll pushed the 538 polls-only forecast to its highest possible level:
has a chance of winning the New York primary.
And since New York is a must-win for Bernie, does this mean that Hillary now has a greater than 99% chance of being the Democratic nominee?