Thursday, April 14, 2016

Clinton Now Leads Sanders 57%-40% in New York


Despite massively outspending Clinton (as usual) it appears that Sanders might actually be losing a bit of ground in New York as the election day approaches:
Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton maintains a double-digit lead over rival Bernie Sanders in New York as both candidates aggressively campaign around the state ahead of Tuesday’s primary, a NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll has found.
Clinton had the support of 57 percent of likely Democratic voters in the poll released Thursday, while Sanders held 40 percent. Those numbers mirror a NBCNews/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll released Monday, in which Clinton was supported by more than half of the respondents and had a 14-point lead over the U.S. senator from Vermont.
No, these numbers don't "mirror" the last poll...she gained three points in just as many days.

Marist is a well-regarded pollster based out of New York, so having two polls from them just days apart is interesting indeed. Maybe a combination of "unqualified", "I'm meeting the pope (not)!" and the stark New York Daily News endorsement is leaving a mark?

Whatever the case, it's not looking good for Bernie...especially because this poll pushed the 538 polls-only forecast to its highest possible level:

Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the New York primary.

And since New York is a must-win for Bernie, does this mean that Hillary now has a greater than 99% chance of being the Democratic nominee?

8 comments:

  1. I'm too scared to hope! I hope everything goes okay in the debate tonight.

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    1. you don't need to be afraid, this is when she always comes through. Bernie will get red and he'll be ready to blow his top, and he cannot admit he was ever wrong. His wife was demanding Hillary apologize for di Blasio's speech and claimed Bernie had apologized where was her apology, but he didn't, he took no responsibility for the whore comment, and those kids cheered.

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    2. I notice Jane Sanders is all over the place as a surrogate for Bernie now. BTW, does anyone else think it's weird that she gets paid? Has any candidate's spouse gotten paid before?

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    3. I didn't hold my breath long; that debate EXPLODED in the first 5 minutes and Clinton, IMO, got the upper hand and maintained it. She had SO MANY good moments (guns, Libya, SCOTUS, abortion, tax returns). It was like a slaughter, and I felt bad for Sanders at some moments.

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  2. Bernie is in New York now, they can see through him, he isn't exotic for them, in NY he's just another self-promoting slacker.

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  3. 6 days ago, in New York, Hillary was beating Sanders by 56 to 38. Now the polls show the race at 57 to 40. Virtually no change in almost a week. Things may change. But, it looks tough for Bernie.

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  4. ugghhhh Fraudy Panduhs.. you think she was debating a ReTHUGlican't. He is a disgrace. I am one who does not think he is nice, "good" for thr Party, or bringing in youngun's in a positive way. I don't work for MSN-BERNIE-C! He is awful, unseemly and thoroughly unpresidential! Buh Bye Bernie, bye now

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  5. ugghhhh Fraudy Panduhs.. you think she was debating a ReTHUGlican't. He is a disgrace. I am one who does not think he is nice, "good" for thr Party, or bringing in youngun's in a positive way. I don't work for MSN-BERNIE-C! He is awful, unseemly and thoroughly unpresidential! Buh Bye Bernie, bye now

    ReplyDelete