Thursday, April 28, 2016

Clinton Leads Sanders by 13 Points in Indiana


The end is near...but not quite here. And in the next contest, it's advantage Hillary:
Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton leads rival Bernie Sanders by 13 percentage points in Indiana, according to statewide polling conducted for IPFW.
Clinton was favored by 54 percent of respondents and Sanders by 41 percent, with 5 percent undecided ahead of Indiana’s primary election on Tuesday.
The survey, commissioned by IPFW’s Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics, found that while 93 percent of Clinton’s supporters said their preference for the former secretary of state is strong, only 75 percent of Sanders’ backers said the same thing about the Vermont senator.
The relative lack of strong support for Sanders, who typically draws large crowds to his campaign rallies, is “a little bit surprising” and “opposite of what conventional wisdom would be,” IPFW political scientist Michael Wolf said Wednesday.
These are the strongest recent Indiana numbers for Clinton after a string of low-mid single digit polling leads, so it's looking pretty good for a win there. However, things are looking so good generally that the Clinton campaign isn't even advertising in Indiana and other upcoming states.
This really says it all. Even if Bernie manages to squeak out a win in Indiana and a few other contests before this is done, it won't change the fact that Hillary will be the ultimate victor.

15 comments:

  1. it's smart to not spend there, she's wise.

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    1. This Robby Mook guy knows how and where to spend money, that's for sure.

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    2. and she only pays him 80K a year.

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    3. Well, maybe he'll be on the White House staff, and deservedly so. That honor would be worth more than $.

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  2. a double digit win in a open primary. not sure she will win by that margin. but I will take. I was scratching my head when Sanders made his primary night rally in West Viginia rather than the next contest in Indiana. Well maybe his internal polling seeing the same bad news in Indiana?

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    1. I guess the margin in Indiana doesn't much matter at this point.

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  3. Scan I didn't know you had this blog or I would have been here. I just heard that Bernie is continuing because he wants to have enough delegates to make a difference in the platform at the Democratic Convention. So I'm sure there will be some very progressive policies coming.

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    1. Oh I thought you knew Bets! Looks like you have about 15 months and 700+ posts to catch up on! Good to see you.

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    2. Hillary has a detailed progressive policy that was posted before Sanders decided to run and spelled out in greater detail long before he gained any traction. So there are very progressive policies in the coming, none of which will be nationalizing heath care coverage and splitting costs with states, or an unindexed minimum wage, or free tuition at state colleges and universities. In fact her plans are more progressive in that they are spelled out in detail, including how they'll be paid for and don't require middle class tax increases, just tax increases on the wealthy. and her debt free college plan will also cover trade and professional schools so won't be limited to only those who are accepted at a state college.

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    3. annibannani, you sure would be welcome in our Facebook discussion group; it's a nice place. We could use more like you! :) It's called GoHillary16!.

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  4. That's awesome that the Hillary team has stopped advertising. Besides the obvious of "saving ammo" for the general, it puts the pressure on Bernie to back off on his, or a least tone them down. Also, any wins he might get can be considered "devalued". It's kind of like a sporting event with a lopsided score in the third quarter. If the winner put in their bench, and the losers catch up a little, it doesn't mean much.

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  5. Hey Scan, what state was the last chance for Hillary when she lost? I remember Tim Russert saying: "We now know who the Dem nominee will be.", and people were mad about it. (Of course, he did turn out to be right.) I thought it was IN, but I looked it up and Hill won IN.

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    1. It wasn't so much one state, but the margin she would have to win by to overtake Obama in pledged delegates. She was arguing that she had more votes but when he reached the magic number with superdelegates included, June 3rd 2008, she conceded.

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    2. It was the night that Obama easily beat her in NC and while she barely won IN. She really needed to win both. That was it.

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  6. So my memory isn't completely gone. :) Thanks.

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