Friday, March 4, 2016
More Huge Clinton Wins Are Right Around the Corner
As predicted last week, Hillary did indeed crush Bernie in South Carolina before trouncing him on Super Tuesday. What I didn't predict were the crazy win margins and resulting delegate cushion.
Now that we're living in a whole new reality where just about everyone knows that Clinton will be the nominee, and with the Louisiana primary tomorrow, let's check in once again with Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com for some more upcoming odds:
Saturday, March 5:
has a chance of winning the Louisiana primary.
Tuesday, March 8:
has a chance of winning the Michigan primary.
has a chance of winning the Mississippi primary.
Tuesday, March 15:
has a chance of winning the Florida primary.
has a chance of winning the Illinois primary.
has a chance of winning the North Carolina primary.
has a chance of winning the Ohio primary.
Solid. And the odds for the last two states will probably get closer to 100% as more polls come in. If these percentages hold, everyone will know who the nominee will be on March 16th.
Only three March Democratic primaries remain: Missouri on March 15th, and Arizona and Utah on March 22nd. Of these, Arizona would seem to be the most Hillary-friendly...but if her momentum keeps building, she'll do just fine in the other states as well.
That leaves a whole bunch of caucuses, mostly bunched up at the end of the month. These were her Achilles heel on Super Tuesday, but if she can keep them as close as possible, they shouldn't be a big hindrance in her March march to the nomination and presidency.
So rest up...because more crazy days are right around the corner.
And I hope that you'll keep checking in with Hillary HQ along the way!
Posted by Scott Hopkins at 3:29 PM