Friday, March 4, 2016

More Huge Clinton Wins Are Right Around the Corner


As predicted last week, Hillary did indeed crush Bernie in South Carolina before trouncing him on Super Tuesday. What I didn't predict were the crazy win margins and resulting delegate cushion.

Now that we're living in a whole new reality where just about everyone knows that Clinton will be the nominee, and with the Louisiana primary tomorrow, let's check in once again with Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com for some more upcoming odds:

Saturday, March 5:

Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the Louisiana primary.

Tuesday, March 8:

Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the Michigan primary.
Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the Mississippi primary.

Tuesday, March 15:

Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the Florida primary.
Hillary Clinton has a 99% chance of winning the Illinois primary.
Hillary Clinton has a 95% chance of winning the North Carolina primary.
Hillary Clinton has a 94% chance of winning the Ohio primary.

Solid. And the odds for the last two states will probably get closer to 100% as more polls come in. If these percentages hold, everyone will know who the nominee will be on March 16th.

Only three March Democratic primaries remain: Missouri on March 15th, and Arizona and Utah on March 22nd. Of these, Arizona would seem to be the most Hillary-friendly...but if her momentum keeps building, she'll do just fine in the other states as well.

That leaves a whole bunch of caucuses, mostly bunched up at the end of the month. These were her Achilles heel on Super Tuesday, but if she can keep them as close as possible, they shouldn't be a big hindrance in her March march to the nomination and presidency.

So rest up...because more crazy days are right around the corner.

And I hope that you'll keep checking in with Hillary HQ along the way!

11 comments:

  1. I love this blog! It feels like one of the few safe places I can go to take a break from the mania on the internet these days! Thank you!

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    1. Thank you and you're welcome, Unknown!

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  2. I agree with the poster above, I have been loving the good Hillary news and am addicted to Hillary HQ. Thanks so much for all the hard work and positivity!

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    1. Thank you and you're welcome, Unknown #2! :-)

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  3. Likewise.....!!!!!....Gave Up on daily vomit(kos....!!!!)...over a YEAR AGO.It was like walking into Insanity of bernie bots AD NAUSEUM..!!!!.Also no more fake msnbc even rachel maddox is nixed for me...!!!....and let's not even talk about the bombastic psuedo outlets such as cnn....faux news....in other words....I CANNOT BE BOTHERED...!!!!!!....All they're doing is listening to THEMSELVES SPEAK....!!!....guess that is why trump is so popular.In the end it will all work out for the best.GO HILLARY.....!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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    1. Hearing you loud and clear! Thank you for reading!!!!!!!!! :-)

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  4. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  5. Don't forget Missouri. That state should be pretty favorable to Hillary Clinton considering there is a large African American community there. I read earlier that many African American churches and clergy members in Missouri had just endorsed Hillary Clinton too.

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  6. Is there anything official about this page. Is the campaign connected to it or is the author just a fan of Hillary's. Who is the author, a single person or many? Maybe I should read the About but I am excited about Hillary and just fear a lack of critical clarity. Go Hillary!!!

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    1. Oh, yes, now I have read the info on association with the campaign. And I have liked you at Facebook. Didn't realize I hadn't. Feel a tad more confident in your prognostications. What a weird word. Is there a scifi character named Prog or something?

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    2. We're just bloggers who support Hillary...unaffiliated with the campaign. Pretty simple, really!

      Thanks for reading!

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