Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Monmouth National Poll: Clinton 55% Sanders 37%


Hillary Clinton has held onto and enhanced her strong lead over Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary according to a new national poll from Monmouth University:
Turning to the Democratic nomination contest, the poll found that a majority of voters (55%) who identify or lean toward the Democratic Party prefer Hillary Clinton as the nominee, compared to 37% who support Bernie Sanders. These results are basically unchanged from January when Clinton held a 52% to 37% lead over Sanders. Clinton has the advantage among both female (59% to 32%) and male (51% to 44%) Democrats. She also enjoys solid support from traditional Democratic identifiers (61% to 31% for Sanders) and voters age 50 and older (69% to 22%).
Clinton continues to crush it among older voters and solid Democrats, with Sanders having his own strengths. However, there are warning signs for the future that need to be addressed:
Sanders is still getting more support than Clinton from leaning Democratic voters (56% to 37% for Clinton) and voters under 50 years old (54% to 39%). Two-thirds of Sanders supporters say they Monmouth University Polling Institute 3/23/16 3 would definitely (28%) or probably (37%) vote for Clinton in November if she became the nominee, but with their candidate still in the hunt, another 11% say they probably would not vote for Clinton and 20% say they definitely would not vote for her if she became the nominee.
That's a whopping 31% of current Sanders supporters who say they won't or probably won't get behind Clinton as the nominee. Maybe the thick of the primary season isn't the best time to ask this question, but it's still a troublingly high number.

Additionally, the new Quinnipiac national poll has Hillary up by 12...but this arguably an even better result for her as their previous poll from six weeks ago had her up by only two points.

With the delegate math looking like it does, and with Hillary's national lead not budging, the time for Bernie to change the tone of his campaign to one of progressive unity is fast approaching. 

We've got a White House to win and a future to save. Together.


UPDATE: This is turning into a huge polling day. A brand new Fox News poll has Hillary leading Bernie 55%-42%. This is a 16-point shift in her favor since their poll from about a month ago which had Bernie leading by 3!

6 comments:

  1. I'm not sure the 31 percent is actually that alarming. If Sanders is at 37 percent, 31 percent of that is 11 or 12 percent. I suspect many of those people aren't even Dems to begin with. What bothers me, as you said in your previous post, is Sanders continuing to repeat RW talking points about her as if they're gospel. He's really beginning to infuriate me.

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  2. I'm done with Sanders. Up until today I'd say, "I'll vote for him if he gets the nom," but that's not going to happen so I don't have to say it.

    His admission to The Young Turks today sealed it. When asked if he loses, and Dems ask him to rally the voters for HRC, his response was, "What's the Dem establishment going to do for us?"

    After HRC wins, I'm going to do what I can to get him out of senate and replace his seat with a true dem. He's used this whole campaign to rip dems, rip HRC, all for his ego. I'm done.

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  3. What else can he do. Like the right-wing, he's looking to "damage" Hillary not compete with her. He lost the competition game. But the unthinking devotion of his followers, has given him a steady cash advantage over Hillary. He's using it, in a hopeless game of, as he calls it, not giving up, until "all the States have made it clear where they stand," irrespective of the delegate outcome. He believes that if he can win more votes in the remaining States, it will show that his philosophy has better resonance with the American people. He can show disdain for the immense delegate lead Hillary has, since most of his followers are contemptuous of a "corrupt" election process that, with its corrupt super-delegate rule, fundamentally favors Hillary, forgetting that, if Obama had won, by a small margin, with his super-delegate lead 1n his contest with Hillary in 2008, Hillary would have been our president. BTW, I take it for granted, that a larger number among his followers are not democrats to begin with, than many people believe.

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  4. I meant to say, that "...if Obama had 'not' won,"

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  5. I agree with the above comments. Sanders's giant ego is stunning, and I'm disappointed that shows like the Daily Show feed that ego during this dangerous time for our country. He's not a democrat yet he's running in the democratic primary. That's a huge lie.

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