Sunday, February 21, 2016
Nevada Was the True 'Sigh of Relief' For Clinton and Her Supporters
Please forgive the lack of writing yesterday...I was too busy partying.
Hillary's decisive win in Nevada is the moment we've been waiting for.
Aside from a week or two in October, the media narrative about Hillary Clinton's second run for the presidency has largely been one long negative slog about enthusiasm gaps, phony scandals and overall impending doom. Clinton's historic win in Iowa may have been thrilling for her supporters, but it was not good enough to halt Sanders' insurgent momentum, as New Hampshire soon proved. From there, Bernie's campaign was counting on their lopsided win to dramatically turn the national tide against Hillary (including among African-Americans and Latinos) in time for Nevada, South Carolina and Super Tuesday. And they've been spending like there's no tomorrow to make it happen.
Well, money can buy you ads but it can't buy you love. Despite being massively outspent on the air once again, Hillary earned this Nevada victory because her masterful campaign staff (led by the brilliant Robby Mook) and incredible volunteers throughout the state worked their hearts out on the ground for the better part of a year. I really cannot give enough kudos to everyone there who helped turn the tide back in Hillary's direction.
To be clear, even if Sanders had narrowly won yesterday, Clinton would still be headed for likely wins in South Carolina and many Super Tuesday states. Her advantage in recent state polls is simply too large to turn around in the space of a week. But the media gloom and doom towards her campaign would have been turned up to 11 and Bernie's momentum would have certainly accelerated even more, opening up the possibility of inconclusive March results and a long, hard fight into the summer.
But thanks to Nevada, that's not going to happen.
Instead, Hillary now has the momentum going into South Carolina, where she will win by at least 20 points (possibly much more). She will also take the lead in pledged delegates and never lose it...because Texas, Georgia, Tennessee and other Clinton strongholds arrive just three days later. States like Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Florida, Missouri and Ohio soon follow and will pad her lead even further.
That's not all. Because Bernie's burned though cash at a much faster rate...Hillary has the most cash on hand going into these contests despite being outraised as of late.
To put it another way: By the end of next month, we will know who the Democratic nominee will be...and it won't be Bernie Sanders.
So for today, let's be of good cheer and breathe a true, belated and much-deserved sigh of relief. We won big right when we needed it, and the future suddenly looks much brighter.
Then let's get right back to work, because we've got a Madam President to elect.
Posted by Scott Hopkins at 1:15 PM