Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Seriously Though...It's Almost Time to Pick a President


Yesterday I expressed my puzzlement at the recent crazy polls in Iowa and New Hampshire while still concluding that the fundamentals of the race haven't changed. I still feel that way, but I'm wondering if there might be something else at work in the minds of the first voters in the country.

We're at a pivot point in this cycle, after the slow holiday season but still several weeks before the first contests. We've crossed over into 2016, and the election is no longer a thought exercise about something in the distant future. It's an important event just around the corner that needs real consideration.

So if people are going to start doubting themselves, perhaps even considering a protest vote or whatever...now’s the time to mull it over. Final decisions are not being made, however, as these same polls also show that many voters aren't firmly committed to either Clinton or Sanders. Clinton has a couple of advantages here, though. One, she easily wins on the electability score in the minds of Democrats. And two, Sanders' committed support is softer.

Basically, this feels like the final "hmmm..." phase before we get down to the brass tacks of actually picking the next President of the United States. Therefore, the current Clinton campaign strategy of “are you sure about this whole Bernie thing?” makes total sense. Now is the exact right time to start putting the big choice into crystal clear focus, and that's exactly what they are doing.

It's going to be a interesting few weeks in the early states and beyond as people make their final considerations about who should get their 2016 vote, rather than their casual 2015 support. But my hunch tells me that a majority of Iowa Democrats will eventually make up their minds to support the early favorite...a historic female candidate who just so happens to be the most experienced and electable person in the race.

And then things will get really fun.

8 comments:

  1. Good thoughts on this, either way we have to keep our zen. I'm confident that the Hillary team has a carefully planned endgame, starting with the debate this weekend. Maybe it's time to push Bernie a little on whether he really thinks he's ready to be Commander-in-Chief.

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    1. People are mulling Bernie over...it's definitely time to bring up some questions. This is what elections are about. It's way better than stealing another campaign's voter data.

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  2. Your hunch is wrong and the polls reflect that. Bernie wins against ALL republican candidates by a landslide.

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  3. I don't know about Hillary's fans, but I'm pretty confident that Bernie's people ARE very committed to him, and will NOT change their minds....

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    1. Your right. Bernie has stood for American values for over 30 years and we stand with him! We KNOW he is for us and not Wall Street and big banks!

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  4. Absolutely nothing has changed since 2008. We didn't want her then and we defiantly don't want her now.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DLNFsl130_Y&index=16&list=WL

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  5. Geez, this post must have hit pretty close to the mark for all the Berners to come out of the woodwork like this. Welcome to Hillary HQ, y'all!

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