So instead of chasing and overanalyzing every single poll, it's a lot healthier for our collective sanity to occasionally take stock of the polling trends with a little help from Huffpost Pollster.
Let's start with Iowa, where the Democratic race has been about as steady as can be since September:
The big news today is the release of the latest (ok, I'll say it...sigh) "gold standard" Des Moines Register/Selzer poll which has Clinton up by 9 over Sanders. While this is a bit on the low end compared to other recent polls, it's actually her best showing from this poll since May.
Bottom line: Hillary is on track to beat Bernie by 10-15 points in the February 1st caucuses...which would come very close to sealing the nomination for her on the very first day of voting. Also, why is O'Malley still in the race? That's not a flatline but it's awfully close. It might be time to wrap it up.
Now let's check out what the Republican side looks like in that state:
Thanks to his incredible 31% showing in the Selzer poll this weekend, Cruz is now leading the field in Iowa and has the clear momentum. However, Trump remains as strong as he's ever been and will not be relegated to second place without a fight. Meanwhile, Marco Rubio is hanging in there, Ben Carson has dropped like a stone and everyone else is a non-starter.
Unbelievable but true: Unless something crazy happens in the next month and a half, Cruz and Trump will be the 1st and 2nd place finishers in the 2016 Iowa caucuses.
Let that settle in for a second.
Good luck, GOP...you're gonna need it!