Monday, November 2, 2015

PPP Iowa Poll: Clinton Surges to a 57%-25% Lead Over Sanders

It's sure looking like those two "crazy" polls out of Iowa last week were no flukes.

According to PPP's latest, Hillary is now leading by 32 points:
On the Democratic side in Iowa Hillary Clinton has really reestablished her dominance, getting 57% to 25% for Bernie Sanders, 7% for Martin O'Malley, and 1% for the now departed Lawrence Lessig. Clinton's seen a 15 point improvement in her net favorability rating over the last six weeks, from +42 at 65/23 in mid-September to now +57 at 74/17. Sanders has continued to become more popular too, going from 56/20 to 62/20.
Clinton is really dominating with several key groups in Iowa. Among seniors she's up 74/13 and with women she's up 61/21. She leads across the board with the various constituencies we track but it is tighter with younger voters (43/40), men (51/31), and voters who identify themselves as 'very liberal' (48/30).
In addition to the debate win and a great showing at the JJ dinner a little over a week ago, I really gotta say thank you to Trey Gowdy! His sham committee just might have put Clinton over the top.

A couple of other interesting things in the poll:

Ted Cruz is now in 3rd and appears to have benefited the most from last week's debate. I'm tellin' ya...keep an eye on this guy. The conservative base loves him.

And Jeb Bush is now at 5%...behind even Bobby Jindal. I'm not sure he can fix this.


  1. Still the mainstream pro-Sanders press won't call this a "surge" will they?

    1. I don't think they're so much pro-Sanders as pro-horserace and (in some quarters) anti-Hillary.