Tuesday, November 10, 2015

Clinton Continues to Crush the Competition in South Carolina

With the start of the primary season less than three months away, two brand-new polls are showing that Hillary has built up a huge and seemingly rock-solid lead in South Carolina.

First, from Monmouth:
Clinton has the support of 69 percent of likely voters in South Carolina's Democratic primary, while the independent Vermont senator trails with just 21 percent, according to the latest Monmouth University Poll. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley barely registers, with just 1 percent support. 
A 48-point lead is pretty damn good. But check this out:
South Carolina's Democratic primary is open to supporters of other parties, including Republicans and independents. When the poll's respondents are limited to self-described Democrats likely to vote in the primary, Clinton's lead is ever higher: 74 percent to Sanders' 16 percent.
PPP shows an even more dominant 72%-18% overall lead for Clinton. But the numbers inside the numbers again demonstrate just how strong and steady her position really is among Democrats:
In September Clinton led Sanders 66/12 in a Biden-less field, so her 54 point advantage on Sanders has remained steady. Clinton's up big with every segment of the Democratic electorate but what's most notable are the numbers with African Americans- she gets 86% to 11% for Sanders and 1% for O'Malley. Those numbers really speak to the trouble Sanders may have in states beyond Iowa and New Hampshire that have considerably more diverse primary electorates. Clinton is also polling over 70% with liberals, women, men, and seniors while getting over 60% with moderates and younger voters. Her weaker groups, comparatively, are whites where she leads 56/25 and non-Democrats where she leads Sanders only 40/37. Those self identified Republicans and independents are the only thing keeping the race even within 60 points- among actual Democrats Clinton's up 79/14.
Then there's this:

So if anything...she might even inch even higher.

Again, this is no time to get complacent. In fact, there will never be a time to get complacent from now until the day she's elected president. However...if the last six months are any indication, this seemingly insurmountable lead seems unlikely to change very much over the next three months.

On February 27th, South Carolina Democrats are going to make clear in an overwhelming voice that Hillary Rodham Clinton should be the next President of the United States.

Super Tuesday arrives just three days later.

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