Wednesday, October 28, 2015
Republican Debate #3 Watch Party
-Obviously, now that Trump is slipping into 2nd place, he's going to go hard at Carson. And the doctor may not be ready to deal with the onslaught.
-Bush is going to nail Rubio over that Florida newspaper that just called on him to resign because he hates his job as a Senator and never shows up. And Bush might not be the only one to attack. There will be sweat.
-Rand Paul will have another rough night, leading to an exit from the race soon. Which would have happened anyway.
-Ditto Chris Christie.
-Jeb will be high-energy (for him), but will also come across as uncontrollably pissy at times. Because he's really not enjoying this whole situation.
-Cruz will have another solid showing and will soon rise to 3rd place in the polls.
-Huckabee, Fiorina and Kasich will also have good nights, but not good enough.
-Hillary's poll numbers will tick up even further after this shit show.
Watch it live at CNBC.com.
UPDATE: What was I thinking?! That wasn't fun at all...except for witnessing the final electoral destruction of Jeb and hopefully the entire Bush clan with him. He certainly tried to go after Rubio, who ended up turning the attacks to his advantage. He was ready for this...and Jeb has got to be among the worst attack dogs of all time. And oddly enough, it was Christie who finished Jeb off with a line about fantasy football, of all things. Then there was the uncomfortable "warm kiss" thing. Bye, Jeb. Go off and do lots of "cool things" without us.
Otherwise, I should probably stop trying to predict debates because I got most of these wrong. Perhaps they all sensed that Carson was too well-liked and not great at debates anyway, so why bother going after him? He'll probably hang in there, as will Trump...though the novelty is noticeably wearing off. Paul, Fiorina, Huckabee and Kasich (despite a feisty start) didn't connect like they needed to, and Paul needed this the most. He may be out of there soon. But Christie is good in this format and lives to fight another day.
Other than Rubio, Cruz had the best night and is still poised to do a bit better in the polls in the coming weeks and months. The hardcore conservative base likes him more than Rubio, who is more of the press darling. Plus Cruz has a lot more money. We'll see how this shakes out.
Dark clouds on a good night for Rubio: Defending his tax plan. Also, he looked like a little kid compared to his much taller opponents and wouldn't stop talking about his parents. The SNL skit writes itself.
Posted by Scott Hopkins at 5:08 PM