Thursday, August 20, 2015

Hillary News & Views 8.20: "They're Called Babies," Reshuffling the Deck, and Nate Silver Runs the Numbers



Hillary News & Views kicks off with Clinton's cutting response to Jeb!, who is using the remarkably offensive term, "anchor babies." Because he's the moderate on immigration, don't you know. Hillary fired back on Twitter:
She also used Twitter to celebrate President Clinton's birthday, and quite frankly, I don't mind waiting until after the jump to get back to the substance:



Clinton's latest television ad, "Reshuffle the Deck and Rebuild the Middle Class," emphasizes the economy:


Writing a response to Carly Fiorina for CNN, former ambassador Eleni Kounalakis celebrates Clinton's years as Secretary of State:
Wherever she went, Clinton was met as a peer by the world's most powerful leaders. But she also got out of the capitals and into the countryside. Along the way, she regularly met with small business owners, community activists, students, home makers and other regular citizens.
I led Embassy Budapest during a challenging time in U.S.-Hungarian relations. During that time, Clinton came to Budapest for a day-long visit. Her engagement did not make headlines in the United States. Her work that day would strike few people as her "single most important accomplishment" in that office. But for many Hungarians and members of the European Union, her practical and nuanced diplomatic intervention in Hungary made obvious her clear-eyed leadership and America's unparalleled strength.
In short, here is my answer to Fiorina's question:
Diplomatically, without bluster or bullying, without stealing headlines or focusing on her own legacy, Hillary Clinton rebuilt the network of American relationships around the globe. This is certainly her most important legacy and fundamental to the future of American leadership in the world.
In a piece amusingly titled "Run HRC," Mashable looks at how Clinton's candidacy is being embraced in hip-hop culture:
Hillary Clinton is slowly solidifying her unlikely place as a fixture in the hip hop scene. The straight-laced Ivy Leaguer, raised in a picturesque Chicago suburb and known for her love of the pantsuit may seem like an unlikely subject of hip-hop anthems.
But there's a long list of Clinton asides in hip-hop throughout the years and the candidate herself seems willing to embrace that now as she works to appeal to a younger, more diverse group of voters.
Her latest shout out comes in during rapper Nicki Minaj's feature in Robin Thicke's newest single "Back Together," released this week. "Used to call me Hillary cause I ride 'em," says Minaj, playing off of Clinton's maiden name, "Rodham."
National Memo has a theory as to why Hillary Clinton drives her enemies crazy:
But leave it to the Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza, who’s written about little else lately, to sum it all up with classic wifebeater logic. Hillary’s emails, he told NPR’s audience, “remind [voters] of the things they don’t like, the secretiveness, the paranoia, the sort of distrust….And then I also think it just feeds the perception that she is a candidate of the past. Do you really want to go back to this? Yes, the Clintons bring many good things. But they also bring this sort of baggage, this stuff that always follows them.”
See, if Hillary would just quit fighting for herself and her issues, they could quit ganging up on the b****.
Meanwhile, this has to be at least the fourth time the same crowd has predicted her imminent demise, if not indictment and conviction. All based upon partisan leaks (this Trey Gowdy joker is nothing compared to Kenneth Starr’s leak-o-matic prosecutors) and upon presumed evidence in documents nobody’s yet seen.
From the Rose Law Firm billing records to Benghazi, it’s the same old story. Because when the evidence finally emerges, it turns out that Hillary has been diligently coloring inside the lines all along.
And that’s because she’s smarter and tougher than her enemies — the very qualities that drive them crazy.
In case the above article doesn't highlight the underlying misogyny of Clinton's press coverage enough for you, here's invaluable Melissa McEwan of Shakesville with more, honing in on the very popular use of "testy" to describe Clinton's recent press conference:
On the other side of the aisle today, Hillary Clinton "pulls plug on testy presser over server questions," according to this headline and several others who love the word "testy"! Which sounds pretty bad!
I wonder what will happen if I watch the entire 7-minute video of the press conference?
Do you think I will get a different perspective if I watch the whole thing in which she is rudely forced to give the same answer over and over to reporters who are impossibly disrespectful and telling her she needs to apologize in a way they would never speak to a male presidential candidate?
HAHA I WONDER!
So how about those poll numbers? I usually avoid horserace coverage, but the last 24 hours have brought an avalanche of it, leading Eric Boehlert to ask the obvious question:
Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight breaks down the numbers as they stand today and compares them to Clinton's 2007 run:
There are clear differences between the Sanders and Obama campaigns. Most obvious is that Obama won 82 percent of the black vote in the 2008 primary,1 while Sanders continues to pick up less than 10 percent of black voters’ support.
But the two Clinton campaigns have big differences too. The best data we have — polling, endorsements and fundraising — says Clinton is in a much stronger position now than she was at this point in the 2008 cycle...
Simply put, Clinton has more support from Democratic primary voters this summer than she did in 2007...Clinton has more than twice the support within the party as she did at this point in the 2008 cycle...
By pretty much every metric, Clinton is in a stronger position than she was at this point eight years ago. That doesn’t mean she is guaranteed to win, but the 2016 Democratic presidential primary is not the 2008 primary.
Here's a handy graphic from the article demonstrating Clinton's polling strength today compared to 2007:


But as the Washington Post opines, there is still a lot of value to the primary challenge Clinton is facing:
Sanders’ support is largely confined to the white progressive left, which will enable him to compete in states like Iowa and New Hampshire. Clinton’s support is far more diverse — it is strong among women, African Americans, Latinos, and moderate and conservative Democrats, a more viable coalition for winning the Democratic nomination. Liberal support for Sanders on the economy is consistent with this.
But it does seem as if Sanders’ presence may be forcing Clinton to sharpen up her own populist message. And, crucially, she seems to be trying to develop a message to Dem primary voters that could also resonate in a general election.
After all, Clinton’s message right now carries echoes of the economic pitch that helped Obama win the 2012 general election: The economy is rigged in favor of the rich and against the middle class; being middle class no longer means what it used to mean; an active policy response is required to restore economic fairness and make work pay again.
Just a closing note: tomorrow's edition will the final Hillary News & Views diary for a few days, as I will be taking some time off. Look for the series to return on Monday, August 31. Thanks! - Lysis

For more on Hillary Clinton's campaign for the presidency, check out…  

The Hillary 2016 Platform Series  

Part 1: Criminal Justice Reform  

Part 2: Immigration Reform  

Part 3: Voting Rights

Unfiltered Hillary: The Transcripts

August 14, 2015: Iowa Wing Ding Dinner

July 31, 2015: National Urban League

July 20, 2015: Facebook Q&A

July 17, 2015: Iowa State Democratic Party Hall of Fame Dinner

April 23, 2015: Women in the World Summit

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