Monday, August 31, 2015

Hitting the Road to See the Great American West

Hi everybody...Scan here.

It's time for a long late-summer road trip to visit some friends and see some sights that I've never seen before in this beautiful country of ours.

Does this mean Hillary HQ is going on a brief hiatus? Not on your life! I'm too curious about the daily events of this historic election to be plugged out the whole time. So rest assured that I'll be passing along news and opinion pieces on Twitter and Facebook whenever I have a bored moment. So if you aren't following along with us it now! (see boxes on the top right)

In the meantime, Lysis will still be posting regularly...and who knows, maybe if I find some good Wi-Fi here and there, I'll be able to check in occasionally too!

See you soon...

Hillary News & Views 8.31: Shaheen Endorsement, Delegate Counting, and Comparing GOP to Terrorists

A big thank you to Scan for keeping this series active while I was on vacation! I'm still getting caught up on all of the news I missed, so bear with me as I get back in the swing of things!

Kicking off today's edition of Hillary News & Views with a big endorsement out of New Hampshire. WMUR Manchester reports:
It’s been expected for well more than a year. But Sen. Jeanne Shaheen’s official endorsement of Hillary Clinton for president on Saturday will come at an important time...
Shaheen, a former three-term governor who remains popular in the state after winning a second senate term in November 2014, will make her endorsement official at a “Women for Hillary” event at the Portsmouth municipal complex on Parrot Avenue. Doors for the event open at 10 a.m.
“At the event, Clinton will discuss the challenges that women worldwide still face, to mark the 20th anniversary of her speech in Beijing, China, where she declared ‘human rights are women's rights and women's rights are human rights once and for all,’” according to an announcement by the Clinton campaign...
In an email Sunday, Shaheen wrote: “I’ve always put New Hampshire first. You know that -- and a year ago, you helped me prove how much that matters. Now it’s time for us to come together again for a president who will fight for all of us, just like you fought for me. New Hampshire is a special place to Hillary -- always has been, always will be.
“So join me in Portsmouth this weekend to show our support for a president who will stand up to help Granite Staters get ahead and stay ahead,” Shaheen wrote.
Shaheen's endorsement is crucial not only for the primary election in her state, but for the delegate count overall. The National Journal reports on the focus that the Clinton campaign is taking on delegates this time around:
At a meet-and-greet at a nearby office tower, in small group sessions, and in one-on-ones behind closed doors at the meeting hotel, Clinton and her top staff worked the 700 or so "superdelegates" who will help choose the next Democratic nominee for firm commitments. "
They're working really hard to solidify their count going in," said Florida DNC member Alma Gonzalez. "It is a continual and consistent push."
"This is really about how you put the numbers together to secure the nomination," Clinton said at a brief news conference.
She said the effort springs from one of the lessons learned from her failed run in 2008, when then-Sen. Barack Obama's campaign took advantage of party rules to win more delegates even when failing to win the primary vote in a particular state.
"I got a lot of votes, but I didn't get enough delegates, and so I think it's understandable that my focus is going to be on delegates as well as votes this time," she said. "I'm very encouraged by the kind of response that I'm getting."
Bloomberg Politics reports on their success so far:
At the Democratic National Committee meeting in Minneapolis, where Clinton spoke on Friday, senior Clinton campaign officials are claiming that she has already secured one-fifth of the pledges needed to win the Democratic presidential nomination. They come from current and former elected officials, committee officeholders, and other party dignitaries.
The 300-or-so gap between Clinton's public and private superdelegate commitments derives mostly from state party officials who have yet to reveal their backing of the frontrunner, but have privately pledged to cast their convention votes for the former first lady, according to the person familiar with the campaign's tally.
The attention to delegate counts, Clinton said Friday, was the “result of the lessons that I learned the last time –how important it is to be as well-organized and focused from the very beginning on delegates and those who are superdelegates."
A big news story last week was Clinton comparing GOP policies on women to those of terrorists. Vox reports her full comments:

Marco Rubio brags about wanting to deny victims of rape and incest access to health care, to an abortion.
Jeb Bush says Planned Parenthood shouldn’t get a penny.
Your governor right here in Ohio banned state funding for some rape crisis centers because they sometimes refer women to other health facilities that do provide abortions.
I would like these Republican candidates to look a mom in the eye who caught her breast cancer early because she was able to get a screening for cancer or the teenager who didn’t get pregnant because she had access to contraception or anyone who’s ever been protected by an HIV test.
Now, extreme views about women, we expect that from some of the terrorist groups. We expect that from people who don’t want to live in the modern world.
But it’s a little hard to take coming from Republicans who want to be the president of the United States, yet they espouse out-of-date and out-of-touch policies.
They are dead wrong for 21st century America. We’re going forward, we’re not going back.
Melissa McEwan at Shakesville supports Clinton's comparison of GOP anti-choice zealots to terrorists:
Naturally, most of the coverage of these comments (example; video autoplays at link) is all about how OUTRAGED Republicans are to be compared to terrorists, and not about how Clinton has a point, considering the Republican support of one of the most flagrant domestic terrorism campaigns in the country.
Hey, "liberal media": Instead of seeking outraged quotes from Republicans, howsabout instead you ask them why, if they don't like the comparison, they are so keen to align themselves with anti-choice terrorists?
Because as much as I'm sure we all enjoy reporting on how Hillary Clinton has hit (yet another) "new low," it might be a nice break in your tiresome disgorgement of trite misogyny to read something that challenges Republicans to engage with the charge she's leveling at them for a damn good reason.
Esquire reports on Clinton's rhetoric on the issue as well, in the remarkably titled piece, "Hillary Clinton Has Run Out of F*cks to Give":
[Clinton] responded by mocking [Trump] in her speech on Friday morning to the Democratic National Committee's summer meeting in Minneapolis, which was presided over by the mysteriously still-employed Debbie Wasserman Schultz, the Joe Schultz of national chairpeople.
She criticized Trump, saying that in addition to saying "hateful things" about immigrants, he "also insults and dismisses women. Just yesterday he attacked me once again and said I didn't have a clue about women's health issues. Really? I mean you can't make this stuff up, folks. Trump actually says he would do a much better job for women than I would. Now that's a general election debate that's going to be a lot of fun."
There are a number of people who have studied her career who believe that, as a candidate, HRC only gets focused when she is perceived to be in trouble, and then she becomes a formidable as she is rumored to be.
If that's the case, then she seems to be getting there at the moment.
Is the national press finally starting to pay attention to Clinton's relentless focus on downballot races wherever she goes to campaign? Politico reports on how her first campaign appearance in Ohio included vocal support of U.S. Senate candidate Ted Strickland:
Hillary Clinton all but endorsed Ted Strickland, the former Ohio governor running for Senate, opening her first rally in the crucial swing state here Thursday morning by encouraging supporters to “help Ted get elected to the United States Senate.”
“I’m personally delighted to be here with my friend, and your governor, Ted Strickland,” she said.
“Nobody cares more deeply and profoundly about what happens to people. He did a great job as your governor, and he will be an important voice in the Senate.”
Clinton also brought attention to another Ohioan on the stump, Tamir Rice, who died tragically only a few months ago. Clinton connected his death to both Black Lives Matter and gun violence. International Business Times reports:
In her first campaign visit to Ohio, Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton took a moment Thursday to renew a call for "common sense reforms" for gun purchases. Speaking softly, she talked about Wednesday's shooting in Virginia, in which two journalists were murdered during a live broadcast, before mentioning the high level of gun violence in Cleveland, the city in which she was speaking.
Wednesday's violence was "horrifically on live television. We saw the terrible consequences of gun violence in America. I don't know how we keep seeing shooting after shooting, read about the people murdered because they went to Bible study or they went to the movies or they were just doing their jobs ... and not say we can do something about this," Clinton said.
"It's not just the deaths that are in the headlines. Most of you in this audience know that we lose people to gun violence every day."
"Here in Cleveland, you know" that gun violence kills, Clinton said. "Tamir Rice isn't here either. He should be. He should be healthy. He should be alive," she said, before launching into a discussion about race that has bubbled in intensity over the last year as stories of unarmed black men -- or children, as in the case of Rice -- getting killed by police across the country have been widely publicized.
"We've got to come to terms with some hard truths about race in America. We do have to stand up and loudly and clearly say black lives matter."
#BLM activists interrupted the event, calling for Clinton to disavow alleged connections to private prison contractors and to support black transgender Americans:
While speaking about race, activists from Black Lives Matter, the movement to which she was referring, interrupted her. They were escorted out of the event, and Clinton continued speaking, unfazed, after saying she'd be happy to meet with the individuals afterward.
The activists were calling on Clinton to divest from private prisons and invest in liberating black transgender women, according to a press release from the group. They accused Clinton of being bankrolled by private prison operator Corrections Corporation of America.
However, a review of contributions to her campaign PAC and the super PAC supporting her campaign did not turn up any contributions from the company or any individuals employed by it.
Finally, Clinton's campaign continues to focus on outreach to minority voters as central to their campaign strategy. The National Journal reports on outreach to Native Americans:
With a small circle of folding chairs in the Walker River Paiute Reservation's Agai-Dicutta ("Trout Eaters" in the Paiute language) Community Center, the room was set up like any other organizing meeting: Handwritten posters hung on the wall, waiting to be filled in, featured prompts like "I support Hillary because…" and "These are the issues that are important to me.…"
But there were two others that don't often appear in campaign organizing materials: "I know for a fact that the Indian vote can sway a statewide election." And: "I caucus/I vote because I know the power of the native vote."
There's little payoff for the Clinton campaign to spend its time in such a far-flung part of the state. From a dollar-per-caucus-goer perspective, the campaign could score a broader audience in Nevada's urban centers.
But meetings like these are part of the hyper-granular organizing strategy helmed by Clinton's national campaign manager, Robby Mook, and a real-life manifestation of the campaign's unrelenting motto of 2016: flood the early states with field organizers in order to leave no stone unturned and no potential Democratic voter untouched.
The visit to Schurz was the campaign's eighth Native American outreach event of the summer in Nevada—which is also the state where Mook got his start, directing Clinton's 2008 operation here. Some of the meetings have been with tribal leaders, like a presentation to the Inter-Tribal Council of Nevada or one to the Nevada Tribal Youth in early August.
And when the Nevada team launched its "Every Nevadan" statewide rural tour in July, the itinerary included stops here in Schurz and also one with the Te-Moak Tribe in Elko.
And Clinton has hired a new Asian-American outreach director, too. NBC News reports:
In an effort to target, mobilize, and win the fast-growing Asian American-Pacific Islander (AAPI) electorate, Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign will announce today that Lisa Changadveja has been named the AAPI Outreach Director for Hillary for America.
"Lisa knows the Asian American and Pacific Islander community," said Irene Bueno, a member of the Asian American Justice Center's National Advisory Council, in a statement. "From working with Lisa throughout the years, one thing I've learned is that she will continue to be a voice for so many in the community on a number issues like immigration."
Changadveja's appointment comes on the very day that the Asian-American vote is under sharp focus, in light of comments made by GOP presidential candidate Jeb Bush about Asian "birth tourism" in the debate over the use of the controversial term "anchor babies."
The Asian-American electorate, one of the fastest-growing and expected to double by 2040, has leaned heavily-Democratic in recent presidential election cycles, though the voting bloc was almost evenly-split between Republican and Democratic candidates during the 2014 midterms.
One recent study found that Asian Americans are the least likely of all groups to be contacted by political parties.
For more on Hillary Clinton's campaign for the presidency, check out…  

The Hillary 2016 Platform Series  

Part 1: Criminal Justice Reform  

Part 2: Immigration Reform

Part 3: Voting Rights  

Unfiltered Hillary: The Transcripts

August 14, 2015: Iowa Wing Ding Dinner

July 31, 2015: National Urban League

July 20, 2015: Facebook Q&A

July 17, 2015: Iowa State Democratic Party Hall of Fame Dinner

April 23, 2015: Women in the World Summit

Sunday, August 30, 2015

The Difference Between Bernie and Hillary Events in Two Photos

This is awesome...

...and this is amazing.

Saturday, August 29, 2015

Hillary Embodies the Brightest Hopes of Girls and the Deepest Fears of GOP Operatives

By Peter Daou and Tom Watson

Reposted from #HillaryMen with special permission

"The most serious and unaddressed worldwide challenge is the deprivation and abuse of women and girls." – Jimmy Carter

Let’s start with numbers:

  • One out of every three women will be a victim of violence in her lifetime.
  • Every year, 60 million girls are sexually assaulted at or on their way to school.
  • Women and girls ages 15 to 44 are more likely to be maimed or killed by men than by malaria, cancer, war or traffic accidents combined.
  • In some parts of the world, a girl is more likely to be raped than to learn how to read.
  • Millions of girls and women are killed through starvation and violence, forced abortions, ‘honor’ killings, dowry murders, and witch lynchings.
  • Murder is a leading cause of death for pregnant women.
  • The children most at risk of attempted abduction by strangers are girls ages 10 to 14.
  • In Africa, 28 million girls between the ages of 6 and 15 are not in school and many will never even set foot in a classroom.
  • Femicide is the leading cause of on-the-job death for women.
  • In Louisiana, the worst state in the U.S. for pay equity, women are paid just 66% of what men are paid.
  • Globally, women make up just 22% of parliamentarians.
  • Only about one third of countries around the world have laws in place to combat violence against women and in most of these countries the laws are not enforced.
  • Every year, about 14 million girls under the age of 18 are given away as child brides and an additional 4 million women and girls are bought and sold into slavery.
  • 97% of rapists will never spend a day in jail.
  • In Nigeria, a treatment center reported that 15% of female patients requiring treatment for sexually transmitted infections were under the age of five.
  • In the U.S., the CDC estimates that 20% of young women experience intimate partner violence.
  • In Nepal, 40% of girls are married by age 15.
  • From elementary and middle school teachers to computer programmers, American women are paid less than men in female-dominated, gender-balanced, and male-dominated occupations.

The 2016 presidential race is an epic battle for the rights, hopes, and dreams of women and girls, embodied in the candidacy of Hillary Clinton. For the men who support those rights and who seek a better world for their daughters, sisters, mothers, grandmothers and spouses, joining that battle is an honorable calling.

It is impossible to fully comprehend the modern American political landscape without appreciating that dynamic.

That is not to say that opposing Hillary’s policies based on ideological principles, or disagreeing with her on specific issues constitutes automatic opposition to women’s equality. The reason we have elections is because no candidate is a perfect fit for every voter.

But what we’re witnessing in 2016 goes far beyond disagreements with a candidate. It is an inflection point in the future of women, the culmination of a decades-long effort by the forces of the past to block that future and to turn the clock back on women's rights.

Take a moment and ponder the fury of the effort to derail Hillary’s campaign, the vitriolic language, the frenzied commentary, the breathless predictions of her imminent demise. Think about the obsessive desire to prove she is losing, the insistence that she is a terrible candidate, the (absurd) claim that Democrats need a man to intervene and save them from “struggling” Hillary, even as she leads nearly two dozen declared and undeclared candidates. Consider the endless barrage of negative adjectives hurled at her by reporters, pundits, politicians, and political operatives, funded and tested by conservative groups, all with the aim of irrevocably damaging her public image. Look at the strange loop created by the national media, where they attack her relentlessly then blame her for being attacked relentlessly.

And what is the flawed assumption underlying the apparent surprise that Hillary isn’t just coasting, unchallenged, to the White House? Was she expected to declare her candidacy and enjoy an unimpeded victory?

Suggesting that the rough and tumble of a presidential race is somehow indicative of a fatal flaw in Hillary’s campaign is just another way to manipulate public perceptions and distort her image. If anything, it is a tribute to Hillary’s incredible strength of character and appeal that she remains so steady while subjected to an all-out assault from the media, commentariat and GOP.

"The tip of the spear."

After a particularly vicious sexist smear in 2008, that’s how Hillary described her role as a figurehead and advocate for women’s rights.

That phrase could not be more accurate. Whether or not you agree with all her policy decisions, Hillary is a living symbol of a timeless struggle, the embodiment of the multi-generational battle for fairness and equality for women and girls. She is the tip of the spear aimed at the heart of institutional and cultural gender bias.

As Tom wrote last year in a widely-shared essay on her record as a public figure, Hillary has one massive accomplishment that is unmatched in American politics.
Over the last quarter century, Hillary Clinton has managed to put the interests of women and girls atop the global development agenda … she used every facet of every office and position she had to pursue this effort — from First Lady to U.S. Senator to the State Department—and her name is synonymous in the global movement for equal rights for women and girls with that ongoing fight for justice.

During her four years at State, Clinton made the advancement of women and girls a central focus for Administration policy, with the strong support of President Obama. Indeed, Hillary Clinton’s record at the State Department is deeply progressive, and the work of a major feminist leader.
Her accomplishments at State and her 2016 candidacy are a continuation of her life’s commitment to women’s rights. Twenty years ago, against the advice of White House political strategists, Hillary went to Beijing and gave the speech that made her a figure of lasting historic importance. In declaring “women’s rights are human rights and human rights are women’s rights,” she boldly opened a new chapter in the civil rights campaign for equality and fairness.

There is also a passage in that speech that smashes headlong into the American right’s well-documented war on women:
As an American, I want to speak for those women in my own country, women who are raising children on the minimum wage, women who can’t afford health care or child care, women whose lives are threatened by violence, including violence in their own homes.
I want to speak up for mothers who are fighting for good schools, safe neighborhoods, clean air, and clean airwaves; for older women, some of them widows, who find that, after raising their families, their skills and life experiences are not valued in the marketplace; for women who are working all night as nurses, hotel clerks, or fast food chefs so that they can be at home during the day with their children; and for women everywhere who simply don’t have time to do everything they are called upon to do each and every day.
Hillary’s words are a courageous and prescient repudiation of the GOP’s efforts to erode the rights of women in healthcare, the workplace, and society. That she has persevered and thrived despite decades of attacks is a giant thorn in the side of those who would roll back generations of progress on women’s rights. That she is poised to become the first woman president in U.S. history strikes terror in the hearts of the purveyors of gender bias in politics, the national media, and the elite punditocracy.

To those forces arrayed against fairness, justice and equality for women, (metaphorically) taking out Hillary is regarded as a singular goal.

There is a sweaty-palmed fear in the Republican Party of Hillary as their opponent next fall – and even worse, as an incumbent in 2020. Beyond the obvious policy differences, GOP operatives understand the cultural realignment that will literally shift the electoral ground under them if Hillary Clinton becomes President of the United States.

Women in power, particularly progressive women in power – that’s the Great Nightmare of the GOP's leadership.

A Hillary Clinton presidency would undermine much of the gender-oriented conservative dogma about women’s health and dominion over their own bodies. It would shift the political culture to policy areas that conservatives always deride as “soft issues” and seek to frame as cost centers for taxpayers – issues like gender equality in the workplace, family leave and parental rights, and generally humane reform across a wide swath of policy areas like immigration and criminal justice. It would destroy the working cultural thesis of the Republican brand since the days of Reagan, the search for the “strong man” who stands for rugged individualism in “the real America.”

A powerful and accomplished fighter for women’s rights in the White House, a figure with unparalleled international reach and expertise, a woman widely recognized for helping to lead the battle for fairness: that is a nightmare scenario for the GOP and their allies in the media and commentariat.

Hillary Clinton is an existential crisis for the American right and its corporate media allies.

As #HillaryMen, we proudly take Hillary’s side of history.


Peter Daou and Tom Watson founded #HillaryMen to provide actionable analysis of the 2016 campaign focusing on the gender barrier in U.S. politics. Peter is a former senior digital adviser to Hillary Clinton and the Clinton Global Initiative. He is a veteran of two presidential campaigns (Kerry '04 and Clinton '08). Tom is an author and Columbia University lecturer who advises companies and non-profits on social activism.

Visit for much more.

Friday, August 28, 2015

Hillary TV: Volume 2

Hillary had a very busy day in Iowa this week before hoping over to Ohio! Here she is with former governor Tom Vilsack discussing her plan for rural development:

And here she is with former governor Tom Vilsack discussing her plan for rural development again, this time in front of a John Deere tractor:

And here she is talking about it yet again in a beautiful outdoor setting:

She also answered a few questions from the press (and a couple of her answers got a great deal of coverage):

The next day, she gave that rip-roaring speech in Ohio:

Over 60% of Democratic Superdelegates Already Support Hillary

Big news. According to the Clinton campaign as reported by Mark Halperin and Jennifer Epstein at Bloomberg Politics:
As Hillary Clinton's campaign seeks to project dominance in a field that could soon include Vice President Joe Biden, her top advisers are touting a decisive edge on a little-discussed metric: superdelegate commitments.

At the Democratic National Committee meeting in Minneapolis, where she will speak Friday, senior Clinton campaign officials are claiming that she has already secured one-fifth of the pledges needed to win the Democratic presidential nomination. They come from current and former elected officials, committee officeholders, and other party dignitaries.
The campaign says that Clinton currently has about 130 superdelegates publicly backing her, but a person familiar with recent conversations in Minneapolis said that officials are telling supporters and the undecided in the last few days that private commitments increase that number to more than 440–about 20 percent of the number of delegates she would need to secure the nomination. ...
The Clinton camp’s claim to more than 440 delegates means she’s already wrapped up the support of over 60 percent of the approximately 713 superdelegates who under party rules are among those who cast votes for the nomination, along with delegates selected by rank-and-file voters in primaries and caucuses beginning next February. ... 
Barring some major scandal or controversy, and given Hillary and Bill Clinton's long-standing ties to Democratic Party elites, overcoming her superdelegate edge would be quite a challenge for Biden or the major candidates already competing against her for the nomination, including Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. ...
In their Minneapolis discussions intended to persuade additional uncommitted superdelegates to come commit to Clinton, her team is taking care not to mention Biden, but the message is clear: much of the party establishment is supporting Clinton and the math is in her favor.
Whatever one's thoughts on the idea superdelegates might be, they have been a part of the Democratic nomination process for decades. They helped Obama win the nomination in 2008 and will do the same for Clinton in 2016. They know a winner when they see one, and it's the lifelong Democrat with the best résumé for the job.

Without a single vote being cast, Hillary is already well on her way to winning the nomination.

And somewhere, Martin O'Malley is whining.

Hillary News & Views 8.28: Hillary Returns to Ohio in Fighting Form

TGIF! It's been a fun week hosting Hillary News & Views...but all things must pass. If I'm not mistaken, Lysis returns from his vacation next week and will resume these duties. And that's a good thing actually, because my summer vacation starts tomorrow and he'll probably need to cover for me a little while.

Hillary returned to Ohio on Thursday and was in fighting form:
"I am thrilled to be back in Cleveland and in Ohio with so many friends," said Clinton, who spoke from a stage on Freiberger Field. "I love coming here. I love seeing the progress. I love seeing the new construction in this area." ...
The campaign already has more than 1,200 volunteers in the state, a spokesman said. ...
In her nearly half-hour speech, Clinton presented herself as a champion of civil rights and voting rights. She recognized two late pillars of Cleveland's black community – Louis Stokes, the trailblazing former congressman who died last week, and his successor, Stephanie Tubbs Jones, who was among Clinton's most loyal supporters in 2008.
Clinton also connected last year's fatal shooting of 12-year-old Tamir Rice at the hands of a Cleveland police officer with a Wednesday shooting in Virginia that took the lives of two television journalists. In doing so, Clinton made a pitch for gun control.
"I know politics are hard," she said. "I've got the scars to prove that. And I know when it comes to gun violence ... a lot of people just basically say, 'You know, it's just too hard, we're not going to try this again.' Well, I am going to tell you, I am going to keep going. I am not giving up. I am not going to sit by while more good people die, and they get 24 or 48 or 72 hours of TV coverage and then we all just say, 'Well, there's nothing we can do' – until the next time people are murdered by gun violence.
"Here in Cleveland, you know this," Clinton continued. "Tamir Rice isn't here, either. He should be. He should be healthy. He should be alive."
Here are some video highlights:

"I take it a little personal when they go after women..."

"Don't be distracted by the flamboyant frontrunner..."

"I don't know how we keep seeing shooting after shooting...and not finally say 'we've got to do something about this'"...

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Hillary Hits Back Hard Against the GOP's Ongoing War on Women

Today in Ohio, we saw Hillary Clinton at her political street-fighting best:
At a campaign event in Cleveland, Clinton criticized former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Ohio Gov. John Kasich. She pointed out that Rubio said he wouldn't support exceptions to an abortion ban for victims of rape and incest, that Bush said Planned Parenthood should be defunded and that Kasich banned state funds from going toward rape crisis centers because they sometimes refer women to abortion clinics.

"Now extreme views on women, we expect that from some of the terrorist groups, we expect that from people who don't want to live in the modern world, but it's a little hard to take coming from Republicans who want to be the president of the United States," she said. "Yet they espouse out-of-date, out-of-touch policies. They are dead wrong for 21st-century America. We are going forward; we are not going back."
Now we're talking.

Of course, the Republicans are whining about being thrown into the same pile as terrorists on this issue...but they aren't going to get an apology. Hillary's remarks were obviously well-planned and just begging for such a response.

She hit the nail on the head: They truly do not want to live in the modern world when it comes to women. And they are stuck with their losing positions.

So let's just enjoy watching Bush, Kasich, Rubio and the rest squirm as their war on women keeps backfiring into their hapless faces.

Hillary News & Views 8.27: Gun Violence, Rural Aid and Another Key Iowa Endorsement

Lysis might still be on vacation from Hillary News & Views, but the same can't be said for Secretary Clinton. She was back in Iowa today talking about aiding rural communities:
Hillary Rodham Clinton proposed banking and tax changes Wednesday that she said would encourage investment in agriculture and rural businesses, along with expanded federal assistance for farmers and ranchers.
With a backdrop of a gleaming John Deere tractor at an Iowa community college, Clinton presented a network of initiatives that would build on existing support programs for agriculture, rural development and education. Some elements of Clinton’s rural program, such as her proposals to make public college education more affordable, have been released previously.
But this wasn't the biggest news out of Iowa today. Less than two weeks after Tom Harkin's endorsement, two-term former governor Tom Vilsack, still a very popular and powerful figure in his state, has endorsed Clinton in an op-ed in the Cedar Rapids Gazette:
On Feb. 1, 2016 I intend to proudly caucus for Hillary Clinton — plain and simple. Hillary Clinton is not new to the fight for middle class families. Throughout her public life she has consistently fought to expand and strengthen the middle class. I have no doubt she will continue that fight as president.
Vilsack is also Obama's Secretary of Agriculture, so the president must have been fine with this early endorsement by a member of his cabinet. Make of that what you will. Vilsack answered some questions alongside Clinton today, and that full video can be found here.

But all of this was overshadowed by yet another horrific shooting.
Hillary was asked about the incident and her answer reminds us why so many people are in her corner and will not budge. Watch this video:

When the stupid scandals and breathless horserace coverage are swept away, what remains is an amazing candidate who will fight tirelessly to make a better future for the American people as our next president.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

In Another Iowa Coup, Vilsack Endorses Clinton

Standing with Hillary 8 years ago...and today.
Two-term former Iowa governor Tom Vilsack, still a very popular and powerful figure in his state, has endorsed Hillary Clinton in an op-ed in the Cedar Rapids Gazette:
On Feb. 1, 2016 I intend to proudly caucus for Hillary Clinton — plain and simple. Hillary Clinton is not new to the fight for middle class families. Throughout her public life she has consistently fought to expand and strengthen the middle class. I have no doubt she will continue that fight as president.
Coming on the heels of former Senator Tom Harkin's endorsement and some very strong poll numbers, this is another huge boost for Clinton in this most crucial of early states.

While his support might not come as a surprise, as he was also an early Hillary booster in 2007, the fact that Vilsack been serving as Secretary of Agriculture in the Obama White House since 2009 is intriguing. He must have run this endorsement idea by his longtime boss first, right? And Obama must have been ok with it, even while his own Vice President continues to contemplate a run of his own.

With a member of his cabinet choosing a side this early, this snippet from Politico today sounds even more on the money:
President Obama, according to current and former West Wing officials, is more inclined to support Clinton’s candidacy. Despite her woes, he sees her as a more electable candidate and a more effective keeper of his policy legacy. He’s done everything but endorse her already, putting his vast fundraising network in the hands of Clinton’s super PAC allies. Two of Obama’s top White House aides, John Podesta and Jennifer Palmieri, are running Clinton’s campaign and report regularly to their West Wing old friends — including the president.

Hillary News & Views 8.26: Clinton Crushes the Field in Iowa as Biden Talk Intensifies

Mortal enemies.
Hi there...Scan again. It's Wednesday of my special week curating Hillary News & Views on behalf of the vacationing Lysis. Got to get over the hump...

You might have heard about the new PPP poll out of New Hampshire that once again shows Bernie Sanders leading by Clinton by 7 points. It's quite an accomplishment for the candidate, his campaign and supporters...and once again, it looks like winning this crucial state will be a great challenge for Hillary.

However, since it smashes the current 'Hillary Doom' narrative to pieces, you might have missed the new Suffolk poll out of an even more crucial state that has Clinton at 54%, Sanders at 20% and Biden at 11%. Basically, it sounds like Iowa Democrats continue to love the lifelong Democrat with the best résumé for the job and it's going to take a lot more than an email server to change that:
“There is a fierce loyalty to Hillary Clinton among likely Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. ...
Clinton’s strongest support was with women, who put her ahead by 43 points, 58 percent to Sanders’ 15 percent and Biden’s 13 percent.
“Historically, Democratic caucuses and primaries turn out a disproportionate amount of women, and Clinton is making the gender advantage work to her advantage,” said Paleologos.
Also, a new Roanoke College poll has Hillary stomping Trump and edging out the rest of the Republicans in the crucial general election state of Virginia. So, yeah...she's totally doomed.

In a related story, many pundits seem to be drooling at the thought of the Vice President stepping in to save his party from the poor woman who can't even get to a 35-point lead in Iowa. Will he go after Hillary and divide the party in an epic, drawn-out battle for the nomination?

They wish! If Biden jumps in (and it's still a huge if), the idea that he would run a slash-and-burn campaign against his longtime close friend sounds completely destructive and absurd. If anything, we'll likely see them both hold their fire against each other and instead aim it squarely at the Republicans. And hardly anyone so effortlessly slices and dices GOP clowns like our Uncle Joe. Remember when he destroyed the political career of Rudy Giuliani with just one timeless sentence? Just imagine what he would do to Trump!

In fact, longtime Clinton confidant/defender Lanny Davis actually seems halfway thrilled at the thought:
“Look, we need a contest. We have a tremendous lead and tremendous favorable ratings. Let me repeat that: favorable ratings over 70 percent among Democrats,” he said, referencing Clinton’s current wide polling advantage over Biden nationally and in the early states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, according to Real Clear Politics averages.
Clinton “has a formidable lead” and “needs competition,” Davis added.
“There’s nobody better than Bernie Sanders, a great man, and Joe Biden,” he said of Clinton’s closest challenger thus far and the vice president, who ran against Clinton for the nomination in 2008 before joining eventual President Barack Obama’s ticket.
“When she wins the nomination over those two great people as the first female president of the United States, it will be much more valuable to have Joe Biden in the race than out of the race,” he said.
Ezra Klein agrees:
I've come to think it would actually be good for Clinton if Biden entered the race. Part of Clinton's problem right now is that media outlets don't believe the Democratic primary is competitive enough to cover, and so instead of covering the race between Hillary Clinton and her rivals, they're just covering Hillary Clinton. And covering Hillary Clinton means playing by the Clinton rules — covering her scandals, her distance from the press, her inability to "connect."
Clinton's fortunes will improve if and when she's in an actual race. My guess is she'll beat Biden if he runs, but it won't be effortless, and it'll allow Clinton to look like a candidate running for office rather than a dynastic juggernaut awaiting coronation while she swats away questions about secrecy from the press. That's a much better look.
Wait...I thought the current narrative is that Hillary is collapsing and Bernie is nipping at her heels, threatening to become the new frontrunner?

No matter. Joe is a good man who will do whatever he thinks is best for himself, his party, and of course, his country. #WidenTheBiden

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Hillary News & Views 8.25: Email, Education and the Hispanic Vote

Welcome to day two of the Scan Edition of Lysis's awesome series Hillary News & Views!

First off, in case we needed even more evidence that it's a zombie scandal that's going nowhere, the State Department has once again officially made clear that Hillary Clinton violated none of their email policies.

One thing's for sure: Hillary is definitely guilty of using email while she tirelessly served our country as Secretary as State. Raise your hand if you're over this. I am sensing a lot of hands going up all across the Internet, I'll move on to something meaningful: Education. Hillary's plan to make college affordable must be catching on, because the campaign keeps sending out tweets about it and people keep sharing them.

Monday, August 24, 2015

We're Only Talking About Email Because the Other "Scandals" Already Flamed Out

Please proceed.
It seems so long ago...but it's only been four months since Clinton Cash was the talk of the town. Oh yeah, remember that? At the time it did seem like it might be a pretty big deal. Rand Paul and the New York Times were super excited about it, but they certainly weren't the only ones. Finally, the Clintons' beloved and massively successful worldwide charity would be exposed for the corrupt slush fund that it really was. Also, there were paid speeches and something something...I forget.

Had that scandal panned out like Republicans and the news media had hoped, it might have been pretty bad. But it was not to be, having died as quickly as it arrived when the author was exposed as an right-wing hack who wrote a book riddled with factual errors. No wonder it's already half-forgotten.

Those hopes dashed, where is a scandalmonger to go next? Whitewater? (Too old.) Benghazi? (Ehh, maybe later.) The email thing? (Ok sure, why not?)

Say what you want about the New York Times, but last month's embarrassing journalistic disaster did the job they set out to do. Because here we are again...still...talking about the same meaningless stuff that they were lying about half a year ago.

I'll let Joe Conason remind us of the facts once more:
When the State Department first requested emails for its archives from all living former secretaries of state, Clinton was the only one to provide any files at all; both Condoleezza Rice and Colin Powell said they no longer possessed the emails they had sent on private servers. And when the FBI asked to examine Clinton’s server to determine whether her emails contained any information that was or ought to have been classified, her attorneys turned it over immediately...
Obscured by sensational and often stupid media coverage, the fundamental facts are simple. There is no evidence that Hillary Clinton violated any law in her use of a private email server, however badly advised. There is no evidence that she knowingly sent any previously classified information to anyone at any time. There is no evidence that any national security breach occurred in her email system. And there is no statute under which she can be held liable for sending information that was retroactively classified, many months after she sent it, when the State Department was reviewing her emails for public release.
The mistake Hillary made here wasn't that it was illegal or against any State Department policy, it was that she opened herself up to another distracting "scandal". But if it wasn't email, we all know it would be something else. So if this is the Clinton "scandal" that Republicans and the news media want to harp on in the months leading up to Iowa, so be it.

Hillary Clinton is definitely guilty of using email while she was serving our country as Secretary of State. Beyond that, what are her enemies actually hoping to find here? This remains a zombie scandal composed of nothing but hot air from the lungs of the bored news media and rightfully terrified Republicans.

Hillary News & Views 8.24: Clinton's Democratic Popularity Remains Steady as a Former Rival Endorses

See if you can spot Tom Harkin in this photo!
Hi everyone...Scan here. Lysis is on a well-deserved vacation, but he gave me the go-ahead to continue the Hillary News & Views series in his absence. Keeping up Lysis's level of excellence will be a challenge, but I will certainly try my best!

First up: a former U.S. Representative, Ambassador to the United Nations, Clinton cabinet official, governor, Chairman of the 2004 Democratic Convention and 2008 presidential candidate has resolved his differences with a former rival and made an endorsement:
Former New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson said he will support Hillary Clinton in her bid for the presidency.
“I have spoken to President and Secretary Clinton and we have patched up our disagreement from the 2008 election,” the statement read. "I am pleased to announce I wholeheartedly support Secretary Clinton's candidacy for the Presidency. Her leadership on issues like foreign policy, immigration, climate change and economic populism are important to the future of the country."
In August, Gallup surveyed over 8,000 Democrats and Democratic leaners and noticed a striking consistency over the summer:
The Democratic presidential campaign arguably has not produced quite the same drama that the Republican field has. Periodic bouts of interest or intrigue have emerged, such as Clinton's email scandal and Sanders' growing campaign rallies in the early primary states.

But in recent weeks, Democrats' ratings of the Democratic presidential candidates' images have been highly stable. Clinton is the best-liked candidate running for president among Democrats, as her steady, towering net favorable score demonstrates. Sanders clearly leads the rest of the field in both overall familiarity and favorability, but he still lags well behind Clinton on both metrics. And the images of all five candidates have seen virtually no change since early July, despite ongoing news coverage of their campaigns. But it is early in the process, and the Democrats, unlike the GOP field, have yet to hold a nationally televised debate. It would be premature to say these dynamics are locked in place, but thus far, little has changed.
Republicans and the bored news media can say whatever they want...Democrats still love Hillary and that's not about to change.

Sunday, August 23, 2015

Hillary TV: Volume 1

Welcome to a new regular segment at Hillary HQ where we round up recent speeches, town halls, interviews and other appearances by Hillary Clinton. Where possible, we will present the event in its entirety.

We begin with the town hall in Las Vegas from Tuesday August 18th. It's mostly a Q & A with Hillary expertly handling her fair share of tough, interesting and even funny questions and comments. Watch out for the little girl who asks her if she'll be paid the same as a man as president!

Town hall on college affordability in Dubuque, Iowa on August 14:

Town hall on college affordability in Claremont, New Hampshire on August 11:

Town hall on substance abuse in Keene, New Hampshire, also on August 11 (Note: Clinton met with #BlackLivesMatter activists immediately following this event):

Press conference and town hall on college affordability in Exeter, New Hampshire on August 10:

Friday, August 21, 2015

Clinton's Press Secretary Makes Sense of the Nonsense

Meet Brian Fallon.

He's Hillary Clinton's press secretary and he's damn good at his job...and that's great because he's been very busy lately making sense out of a whole lot of nonsense. You're probably going to be seeing a lot more of him for quite a while.

But the fun doesn't stop with the must-see video above. Check out the ingenious twist Fallon delivered this week during a conference call with reporters which exposed just how dumb this zombie email "scandal" truly is:
“Just as an aside, for the I.G. to now declare the material as classified, since it was provided by State to the House Benghazi committee earlier this year in unredacted form, presumably that means that members of the House Benghazi committee may have unwittingly handled classified material on unclassified systems within the House of Representatives,” Mr. Fallon said.
“Now, I don’t think that anybody here at the Clinton campaign is going to say that members of, say, Chairman Gowdy’s staff should have their computers confiscated for having possibly trafficked in classified material,” he said. “I don’t think we would say that. But that is, fundamentally, the same logic behind the I.G.’s referral to the State Department with respect to Mrs. Clinton’s server, since she was at worst a passive recipient of unwitting information that subsequently became deemed as classified. Let’s raise that as an aside.”
Could this be true? Could Gowdy's committee be in the exact same boat as Hillary? Is the "scandal" really getting this stupid? Why yes it is:
A spokesman for the Democrats on the committee, who make up the minority, said in an email that the documents the committee received were not marked classified, adding, “Like Secretary Clinton, Committee members and staff could not have known to treat the documents as classified when we received them, because it was not marked or easily identifiable as classified information.”
Next comes the victorious follow-up tweet.
But this is just one of Fallon's many Twitter punches.

Perhaps detecting the eminent fizzling of yet another round of eGhazi, just today Dylan Byers at Politico decided to resurrect the even more idiotic "Hillary won't talk to the press" thing. It didn't go well.

As a result of Fallon's efforts, Politico's headline changed from "Clinton Reneges on Promise to Do ‘More Press’" to the only slightly less wrong "Clinton Reneges on National Interviews", with further corrections in the piece itself.

Well done, sir. But there's more!

Regarding that judge yesterday who thought that Clinton violated policy? Ehh, not so much.
And about the whole "wiped server" obsession?
And other miscellaneous garbage that needs to be taken out.
It goes on and on. The point is, the Clinton campaign is having none of this malarkey and I recommend following this guy on Twitter if you'd like to stay sane for the next 14 and 1/2 months.

Hillary News & Views 8.21: Jeb Trump & Donald Bush Edition

his week's final edition of Hillary News & Views begins with the latest GOP-focused videos released by the Clinton campaign. Following the blueprint of Obama's 2012 campaign, Clinton is using her frontrunner status to frame the opposition party well in advance of them selecting their nominee. It's a strategy that has the potential to benefit the entire party nationwide, even if she is not the nominee in the end. Essential to the strategy has been tying Donald Trump's extremist rhetoric to the extremist policies of all of the candidates. Yesterday, she used the "anchor babies" filth to explicitly connect Donald Trump to Jeb Bush, the alleged moderate on immigration:
She expanded her response on Twitter as well:
For those who don't recognize the name in those last two Tweets, Lorella Praeli is the director of Hillary for America's Latino Outreach. She also released a statement regarding Bush's comments, as Politics USA reports:
During a press conference today, Jeb Bush tried to outdo Donald Trump and other Republican presidential candidates by doubling down on the hateful term ‘anchor baby’ when referring to the U.S. born children of immigrants.
It’s a disgrace to see these candidates attack a group of American citizens who not only have the same rights as everybody else in this country but also represent the very values this country was built on.
If Republicans continue to wonder how to label these children, Hillary has already made it clear to them: They are not ‘anchor babies.’ They are babies. They are our neighbors. They are our families. They are part of our communities. They are American citizens. Period.
Jeb Bush has been, shall we say, "testy" in his response to media questioning his use of that term. Peter Daou and Tom Watson over at #HillaryMen capture the gender bias in how Clinton's response to media is characterized, as compared to male candidates:
To help sort through the terminology used to describe Hillary, we’ve put together the following thesaurus:
A male candidate is smart, while Hillary is “calculating, scheming, crafty, manipulative.”
A male candidate values privacy, while Hillary is “secretive, suspicious, paranoid, uncommunicative.”
A male candidate takes strong positions, while Hillary is “polarizing, divisive, alienating.”
A male candidate deserves the benefit of the doubt, while Hillary is “untrustworthy, corrupt, deceitful, dishonest, unethical.”
A male candidate is an achiever while Hillary is “over-ambitious, will do or say anything to win.”
A male candidate is diplomatic while Hillary is “inauthentic, disingenuous, fake, unlikable, insincere.”
A male candidate is solid and unflappable, while Hillary is “machine-like, robotic, abnormal, cold.”
A male candidate is a confident leader, while Hillary is “inevitable, defiant, imperious, regal, testy.”
The Boston Herald reports that Clinton has picked up an endorsement from Massachusetts Attorney General Maura Healy, who is a New Hampshire native:
There’s a lot of reasons to be with her but let me tell you a few of mine.
She’s a leader who is willing to take on the big guys to protect the rest of us. As a young lawyer, she helped lead the Congressional investigation into President Nixon. In Arkansas, she taught law and ran legal clinics to help poor families and children. As the first woman Senator from New York, she took on Congress when it wasn’t doing enough for rural areas and small towns.
Now, she’ll be on our side as President. Her economic plan will fight the core challenge of our time – raising incomes for everyday Americans and closing the equality gap in earning. She’s proven she’ll be our champion and the champion for all Americans. Hillary Clinton shares my vision for what America can be, she shares our values as Democrats and she’s the right leader at the right time.
We’ve come too far for equality, for human rights, for economic justice to go backward.
I’m all in and I’m ready to hit the streets.
On August 29th, I’ll be kicking off a canvass for Hillary in Exeter, New Hampshire, just down the road from where I grew up.
And just as a friendly reminder on another Friday morning when a supposed blockbuster report was posted overnight by the New York Times, here's that open letter to the Times from David Brock at Media Matters:
Which brings us to today and the latest disgraceful and embarrassing misstep in The New York Times' reporting on Hillary Clinton.
The New York Times dramatically changed a report that initially -- based on anonymous sources -- cast Clinton as the target of a requested criminal probe. After publication, The Times altered the report to remove the implication that Clinton was the target of the requested probe -- with no acknowledgement of a correction.
A spokeswoman for The New York Times even told The Washington Post there was "no reason for a correction" -- an untenable position that was abandoned later this afternoon after the Justice Department and Rep. Elijah Cummings, the top Democrat on the House Select Committee on Benghazi, refuted reports of a "criminal investigation of Secretary Clinton's email usage."
I trust you can see that The Times' reputation is at serious risk. Given the four clear examples cited here, it's time for The New York Times management to address the situation by commissioning a review that will explore the process of reporting and editing at The New York Times that has allowed flawed, fact-free reporting on so-called scandals involving Hillary Clinton and report back to readers.
Perhaps lessons can be learned from the internal review commissioned by CBS News following a flawed 60 Minutes report regarding the attacks on U.S. diplomatic facilities in Benghazi.
Following that internal review, then-Chairman of CBS News and Executive Producer of 60 Minutes Jeff Fager admitted that "there is a lot to learn from this mistake for the entire organization."
I implore the paper to take any and all steps necessary so that these chronic lapses in accuracy and editorial judgement do not recur, and to ensure that the nation's paper of record can be depended on for coverage that is factual and impartial going forward.
As noted yesterday, I'm headed for vacation. Hillary News & Views will return on Monday, August 31. See you in a week! - Lysis

For more on Hillary Clinton's campaign for the presidency, check out…  

The Hillary 2016 Platform Series  

Part 1: Criminal Justice Reform  

Part 2: Immigration Reform  

Part 3: Voting Rights

Unfiltered Hillary: The Transcripts

August 14, 2015: Iowa Wing Ding Dinner

July 31, 2015: National Urban League

July 20, 2015: Facebook Q&A

July 17, 2015: Iowa State Democratic Party Hall of Fame Dinner

April 23, 2015: Women in the World Summit

Thursday, August 20, 2015

Throwback Thursday: Hillary's Final Answer at the 2008 Texas Debate

Over the course of her life, Hillary has dealt with far more difficult challenges than dipping poll numbers and naggings from the press about email.

Watch this stirring clip from February 2008 at the Texas Democratic debate when she was asked to describe the moment in her life when she was most tested. Her answer received a raucous standing ovation that ended the debate...and is one of the finest moments of her previous campaign.

A few days later, she shocked the naysaying pundits and won the Texas primary.

CNN vs Quinnipiac: Choose Your Reality

Good we go again with more horrendous results from Quinnipiac delivered via another laughably biased press release:
“Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers are like a leaky faucet: drip…drip... drip. She is now getting less than half the vote in all three states’ Democratic primaries.”
Lower than 50%? Okay, sure. But in the three states that they polled (Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania) Clinton is still beating Sanders by anywhere from 26 to 33 points. What's different here is that in each of these states, Biden is getting close to the same level of support as Sanders despite very little indication that he will even run. And boy does Quinnipiac want him to run!
“Who gets the love? The one guy who hasn’t declared. Vice President Joseph Biden, a Scranton boy made good, is perhaps becoming a more important player in the 2016 presidential race, with a solid grip on the ‘from the gut’ support of Pennsylvanians.”
What does that last part even mean?

On the general election side, it's once again an unmitigated nightmare for Democrats across the board. But just as a case study, let's look at Pennsylvania where they have Jeb beating Hillary by 3 points. Pennsylvania has leaned a few points more Democratic than the rest of the nation during the last few presidential elections, so this is just beyond awful. But wait, didn't CNN/ORC come out with a national poll just yesterday that had Hillary crushing Jeb by 9 points? Yes they did. By that logic, Hillary should be leading Bush by around 12 points in Pennsylvania.

The CNN and Quinnipiac polls cannot exist in the same reality. Republicans are of course free to go with Quinnipiac if they so choose, but they may be setting themselves up for another disappointment because Pennsylvania hasn't gone red since 1988.

Anyway, life is too short to try to make sense of the Quinnipiac numbers month after miserable month. But if you'd like to wade through the mess relatively quickly while we wait for a poll that isn't completely whacked out, here you go.

UPDATE: Ed Kilgore at Washington Monthly also covered this and later received some interesting information.
I received an email from Alan Abramowitz of Emory University that likely explains the Q-PAC mystery: their samples in FL, OH, and PA don’t much resemble the general electorate as it appeared in 2012. For example, the PA sample is 86% white; the 2012 exit poll showed an electorate that was 78% white. More egregiously, Q-PAC’s PA sample shows a tie on party identification whereas in 2012 Democrats had a ten point advantage. All three state samples in the Q-Pac poll include larger percentages of voters 65 and older than the exit polls. All these variances could likely explain better Republican performances than in other polls.

UPDATE 2: More evidence that Quinnipiac is wrong: In Wisconsin, Hillary is +5 on Bush, +10 on Walker, +12 on Cruz and +16 on Trump!

Hillary News & Views 8.20: "They're Called Babies," Reshuffling the Deck, and Nate Silver Runs the Numbers

Hillary News & Views kicks off with Clinton's cutting response to Jeb!, who is using the remarkably offensive term, "anchor babies." Because he's the moderate on immigration, don't you know. Hillary fired back on Twitter:
She also used Twitter to celebrate President Clinton's birthday, and quite frankly, I don't mind waiting until after the jump to get back to the substance:

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

BREAKING: Hilarious Republican Disaster to Continue Indefinitely

CNN Poll: Primary Race Tightens as Clinton Keeps On Leading Republicans

The latest CNN/ORC poll is out, and Hillary Clinton continues to lead every Republican candidate in general election matchups:

Clinton 52% Bush 43%
Clinton 51% Trump 45%
Clinton 52% Walker 46%
Clinton 53% Fiorina 43%

Right off the bat, we see a couple of interesting things: the fall of Jeb and the rise of The Donald as a serious (hah!) GOP candidate.

And hey, if this is who Republican voters really want as their standard-bearer next year, who are we to stand in their way? Against Trump, Hillary leads with women by a whopping 23 points (60%-37%) and shows rock-solid support among Democrats and strong support from moderates while holding her own with independents as well. Trump doesn't fair as well with his own party, and we see that with the other GOP candidates as well.

What's also capturing some headlines is the tightening Democratic race, where Sanders continues to gain on Clinton and is now only trailing by 18 points (47%-29%). There are a couple of caveats to consider, however. CNN has Joe Biden at 14% here, a slightly better-than-average result when looking at the past few months of polls. But what if, as many expect, he doesn't run?
Should Biden decide not to make a run for the presidency, his supporters would largely flock to Clinton rather than Sanders, boosting her numbers. With Biden's backers re-allocated to their second choice, Clinton holds 56%, Sanders 33%, with support for O'Malley, Webb and Chafee unchanged.
Another salient point is that Sanders' real strength in this poll comes from self-described "independents who lean Democrat", whereas her lead among rank-and-file members of the party remains a very robust 38%:

Detractors may point to the tightening race and declare that it must mean that Hillary is a weaker candidate than many expected. However, despite the ridiculous months-long flood of negative press, Bernie rallies which could be mistaken for U2 concerts and the constantly entertaining reality TV spectacle of The Donald...this stubborn fact remains: Hillary still leads everyone.

Weak? On the contrary, I'd say that we're looking at evidence of a very strong candidate who can weather the inevitable political storms that anyone running for president must face. But if you are looking for a weak candidate, there's a fella by the name of Jeb who fits that particular bill quite nicely.

I have no doubt that the media will keep trying their darnest to create their own exciting narrative, but the data makes clear that the fundamentals of the race have not changed: If Democrats come out to vote in 2016, Hillary Rodham Clinton will make history as the first woman to win a major party presidential nomination and the first woman ever elected President of the United States.