Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Hillary Continues to Crush Everyone in Latest CNN Poll

A brand new national poll from CNN/ORC (among the most accurate of 2012) is out today.

Without further ado, let's survey the devastation:

Chart via
Simply put, she's absolutely stomping all the competition. It's become obvious that voters just don't care much about phony scandals from the press and rhetorical firebombs from the Republicans... they just want Hillary to be the next President of the United States.

The good news for Hillary extends to the nomination contest, where nationwide voters still don't seem to be feeling the Bern all that much. In fact, Biden is actually doing better despite not even being an announced candidate.
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton continues to hold all the cards. Nationally, she leads all other candidates by more than 40 points, with 57% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents behind her, 16% backing Vice President Joe Biden, 14% Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, 2% Jim Webb and 1% or less for former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley and former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee.
Stompin' the comp. Whatevs.
The poll holds better news for Biden than it does for Sanders, who has made gains against Clinton in recent polling in Iowa and New Hampshire. But Biden actually tops the list as national Democrats' second-choice candidate, 35% say he's their second pick, compared with 14% who say Sanders is.
As for why Sanders isn't getting more traction despite the buzz, this interesting result among Democrats in the poll might explain some of it:


Biden supporters hold firm but the vast majority of Sanders supporters admit that Hillary would be the stronger candidate. That's a tough thing to overcome.

Another interesting point: Looking at the methodology, it appears that the makeup of this poll is 48% Democrat and 40% Republican. I can hear the right-wing blogs bellowing out "+8 D! That's ridiculous!" but it's really not. The 2008 electorate was +7 D and in 2012 it was +6 D...and after four more years of demographic changes, there's no reason to think that a slight uptick to +8 D will be off the mark.

In other words...this national poll could conceivably be the most accurate one out there right now. If so...well, let's just be of good cheer on a happy news day and not get ahead of ourselves.

We've still got a nomination to win.

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