Wednesday, May 27, 2015

California Field Poll: Clinton Leads Big... GOP Candidates Flounder

The highly-respected Field Poll has just released some new numbers out of California that should surprise no one.
The former First Lady, who won the California Democrat primary in her last bid for the presidency in 2008, holds a huge preference lead in next year's presidential primary. She is currently the choice of 53% of this state’s likely Democratic primary voters. Her closest potential rival, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, is well back at 13%. Another 6% say they would support Vice President Joe Biden were he to run, while Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, who announced his candidacy earlier this month, is the choice of 5%.
Per usual, no GOP contender gets out of the low double digits...
None of the many announced or potential Republican presidential candidates has yet to emerge as the frontrunner to win this state’s largest-in-the-nation trove of delegates to the GOP nominating convention. Three Republicans – Bush (11%), Rubio (11%), and Walker (10%) – currently receive nominally higher levels of support than the others. However, support for each is not particularly large. Another 37% of likely GOP voters divide their preferences among the many other candidate possibilities, and a large proportion (31%) are undecided.
...and Hillary is crushing them too, by more than 20 points.

Additionally, about 84% of California Democrats are either enthusiastic or satisfied with the idea of Clinton as the nominee, with the liberal wing of the party among her biggest backers.
Women, strong liberals and voters in the San Francisco Bay Area are the Democratic voter constituencies most likely to be enthusiastic about Clinton as their party’s nominee. For example, 52% of Democratic women voters polled said they would be enthusiastic about Clinton as the nominee, compared to 38% among Democratic men.
Overall, Clinton remains rock-steady in the state that will be the deep blue bedrock for the third straight Democratic presidential victory in 2016. Republicans looking for good news should probably look elsewhere.

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