Thursday, February 26, 2015

Walker's in the Driver's Seat of the Clown Car, but He's Revving in Neutral

First the good news for Governor Walker: Huckabee's micro-mini surge from last week has apparently already subsided and Scotty has taken the lead both nationally...
PPP's newest national Republican poll finds a clear leader in the race for the first time: Scott Walker is at 25% to 18% for Ben Carson, 17% for Jeb Bush, and 10% for Mike Huckabee. Rounding out the field of contenders are Chris Christie and Ted Cruz at 5%, Rand Paul at 4%, and Rick Perry and Marco Rubio at 3%.
...and in Iowa:
An early look at likely Iowa Republican Caucus participants shows a strong conservative tilt as Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker leads the pack with 25 percent, twice as high as his nearest rival, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. 
Good for Scotty I guess, but here's the bad news: Hillary Clinton is still easily beating him...and even Rick Perry does slightly better against her.
PPP's newest national poll finds Hillary Clinton leading all of her potential Republican candidates by between 7 and 10 points. She has 7 point advantages over Rand Paul (47/40), and Rick Perry and Marco Rubio (48/41). She has 8 point advantages over Ben Carson, Chris Christie, and Scott Walker all at 48/40. Her advantage over Mike Huckabee is 9 points at 50/41, and she's up 10 points each over Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz at 50/40.
"Hillary Clinton continues to be the early favorite in next year’s Presidential race with substantial leads over both the Democratic primary field and her potential Republican opponents," said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. "What’s most striking is that she’s showing real crossover support, getting as much as 20% of the Republican vote against some of the GOP hopefuls."
Looking at the competition, it's really no surprise that Walker is doing so well at this early stage. But anyone who followed the Republican nomination process in '08 and '12 knows that these things can change really fast. And despite Jeb's shockingly poor showing for a would-be frontrunner right now, he already has a lot of money and establishment backing...and the target on Walker's back is growing by the second.

We might as well sit back and enjoy it for now. I'm sure Hillary is.


  1. Walker: Flavor of the month! They're going to run out of temporary favorites pretty fast.